Japan's nuclear weapons for us are not a fire on the other side of the river
The Russian media, including the state ones, are actively discussing the readers' proposals published in Japan to recapture the Russian Kuril Islands with nuclear missiles. This is recommended, for example, by readers of an article about the future of the Kuriles published on the website of the Japanese edition Yahoo News Japan...
The Japanese militaristic appeals to “deal with Russia by force” are not new. They are simply unknown to our people who do not read the Japanese press. Recently, the Internet portal Inosmi began to translate and publish such calls. And he does the right thing, because in Russia they should know that in Japan there are many militant pro-fascist elements united in ultra-right organizations, who are seriously demanding to get Russian Sakhalin and all the Kuril Islands without stopping before the war.
And these are not only irresponsible marginals. Occasionally, such calls are made by Japanese politicians in official positions. I remember the statement of the deputy of the Japanese parliament Khodaki Maruyama that the "northern territories" of Japan can be "returned only by war."
Those who rely on the nuclear power of our state and the weakness of the Japanese "self-defense forces" should not be soothed either by the remaining peaceful provisions of the Constitution of Japan, or by the "three non-nuclear principles" announced by parliament half a century ago with the solemn refusal of the Land of the Rising Sun to create, possess and import any types of nuclear weapons. These principles have long been emasculated.
Today, Japan's possession of nuclear weapons is openly tolerated by major Japanese politicians. Speaking at a November 30, 2006 meeting of the House of Representatives Security Committee, then Japanese Foreign Minister Taro Aso stated that "Japan possesses the technology of creating nuclear weapons, but does not plan to create one"... At the same time, the minister explained the position of the cabinet, which is that the country's constitution allegedly does not prohibit it from having nuclear weapons. “The possession of a minimum amount of weapons for self-defense purposes is not prohibited by Article 9-1 of the Constitution, - said Aso, - and even nuclear weapons are not prohibited if their volumes fall under this definition "...
During the entire period of Shinzo Abe's tenure in power, the closest associate of Prime Minister Aso combined the posts of deputy head of government and the key post of minister of finance. It is not excluded that, despite his advanced age, he will retain his positions in the new Cabinet of Ministers.
The situation around the question of Japan's transformation into a nuclear power is changing before our eyes. Not so long ago, Washington feared that, having become nuclear states, Japan and the Republic of Korea might abandon America's military services as unnecessary. And this would mean the US withdrawal from the Far East, which is not at all in the plans of the Americans, who regard military bases in Japan and South Korea as important strongholds of their strategy. In our days, the position of the American administration is different. There is a well-known statement by Donald Trump about the admissibility and even desirability of Japan's nuclear weapons "for their own defense." Such speeches are warmly welcomed by Japanese revenge-seekers who dream of the return of "lost" territories, including Sakhalin and the Kuriles. They hope that Japan will "recapture the original territories" under the cover of the United States.
Japan is reported to have amassed stockpiles to create both uranium and plutonium nuclear weapons. According to published data, at the end of March 2005, the country had 43.8 tons of plutonium, of which 5.9 tons are stored on the territory of Japan itself, and 37.9 tons - in England and France. “If we proceed from the fact that 8 kg of plutonium is needed to make one nuclear warhead, - experts point out, - the amount that Japan possesses will be enough for almost 5475 warheads "... There is information that the process of creating nuclear weapons in Japan will take no more than six weeks. This refers to nuclear weapons that meet all modern requirements, whether they are bombs or missile warheads. I don't think it will take even six weeks, because it cannot be ruled out that all the components of nuclear bombs and missile warheads have already been created and all that remains is to assemble them.
The US administration can be expected to continue pushing Tokyo to build up its arms. Having approved, and most likely initiated the revision of the "peaceful" articles of the constitution, Washington seeks to make wider use of the Japanese armed forces in US military operations. Faced with the reluctance of European NATO allies to uncomplainingly participate in their adventures, Americans are turning their gaze to the still docile Japan. Washington succeeded in getting the Abe government to push through parliament a bill allowing the Japanese self-defense forces to participate in conjunction with the US army and navy in any operations in hot spots. "It, - said the Deputy Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Jack Crouch, - necessary to ensure security in unstable regions of the world "... Washington's calls are also known "Connect Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand to NATO structures"... Japan's military weight in these structures will increase immeasurably if it acquires the status of a nuclear power.
The political efforts of Prime Minister Abe were directed at building up Japan's military power and reviving the country's military-industrial complex, demanding that the constitutional prohibitions on having powerful armed forces and participating in wars be abandoned. Note that the General Secretary of the Cabinet of Ministers of Japan Yoshihide Suga, who is coming to replace him, invariably declares that he is steadily following the course of his patron to abolish the "peaceful articles" of the Japanese Constitution and "return the northern territories."
Taking into account the territorial proximity of Japan to Russia, the situation of the spread of nuclear weapons in Northeast Asia cannot and should not be viewed by Moscow as a fire on the other side of the river. The inevitable arms race in this case will not only create a threat of Russia's involvement in military conflicts, but also call into question the plans to improve the socio-economic situation of the population of the eastern regions of the Russian Federation, and to resolve the very acute demographic problem here.
I would like to believe that Japan realizes the advantages of the policy of dialogue and cooperation, on the one hand, and the danger of an aggravation of nuclear confrontation in the region, on the other. For even without that, the government of the Land of the Rising Sun, having agreed to the deployment of numerous US military bases on its territory, despite the protests of the people, turned the Japanese Islands into targets of potential retaliatory or even preventive strikes.
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