In June, Rosstat recorded a miraculous miracle – deflation, lower prices.
The people, however, did not notice the special cheapness. In the summer, when fruits and vegetables are ripe, the prices of a number of seasonal products are always reduced. That’s the way it should be.
But since the government decided that a strong ruble was harmful to the Russian economy, and began to intensively explain to citizens why inflation would have to be tolerated for the good of the motherland, it became clear that price increases could not be avoided. The ruble has already artificially dropped. Prices crept up. In the fall, this trend will be more noticeable. What will rise in price?
PRODUCTS WITH IMPORTED COMPONENTS
MN has already written that due to the rise in prices for palm oil and its shortage, the price of all dairy products will rise: from kefir and condensed milk to cheeses and ice cream. Dairy products have already begun to rise in price. And it’s noticeable.
And it’s not only about palm oil, various emulsifiers and preservatives, but also about equipment for pasteurization and packaging. Imported equipment requires imported spare parts. And now they can be imported into Russia only as part of parallel imports. This makes spare parts, scheduled repairs and maintenance by 30 or even 40 percent more expensive. Manufacturers, of course, include all these price rise factors in the price of the final product.
A high proportion of imported components is also found in confectionery and sausages, frozen offal – dumplings, dumplings, pancakes, microwave pizza and other frozen fast food.
FLOUR AND BREAD
If jewelry prices rise sharply tomorrow, it will be easy to survive: no one has yet died without earrings in their ears. But inflation has one unpleasant property – it is the basic foodstuffs that rise in price most of all. The least protected segments of the population suffer.
The government has recently allocated 2.5 billion rubles to compensate grain producers. Thus, it cannot be said that the officials are doing nothing at all to stabilize the price of bread. But, given the high prices for grain on world markets and the great temptation to sell it for export under the plausible slogan of saving starving Africa, one can predict some increase in prices for flour, bread and any pastries.
The people have already begun to slowly sweep flour, sugar, cereals off the shelves – they are making supplies for the fall. Bread makers are also in demand. They allow you to bake bread at home and not depend on the price Wishlist of local bakers.
EQUIPMENT FOR HOME PREPARATIONS
Approximately 15 percent in household appliances stores are waiting for price increases in the fall – during the spin season – for various dryers for vegetables and fruits, freezers for berries, juicers. And also for household heaters.
Why they will rise in price, it’s understandable – imports!
BEER WITH AND WITHOUT CANS
Due to the fact that Russia has not yet begun to grow malt and hops (it was cheaper to buy in the Czech Republic), a sharp rise in the price of beer is expected in autumn. For craft beers, which gourmets prefer, hops were generally brought from the USA, New Zealand and Australia.
In addition to hops, which now will have to be looked for somewhere else and imported by roundabout ways, until we learn how to grow our own, beer packaging is also becoming more expensive. And by a strange coincidence, all at once! Prices for glass bottles will rise by 10-15 percent. On plastic – by 40 percent. And for aluminum cans – by 50 percent.
Beer producers in Russia are trying to keep prices down as long as possible, given the declining purchasing power of the population. But by autumn, the stocks of hops and previously harvested containers will run out, and prices will have to be increased.
ELECTRONICS AND AUTO PARTS FOR FOREIGN CARS
All this will be imported into Russia through parallel imports. But due to the lengthening of logistics routes and sanctions machinations, it will become 20-30 percent more expensive.
Sales of new cars in Russia are now tending to zero, although thousands of brand new “unpacked” cars have recently been found in warehouses in Moscow and the Moscow region. They are simply held back, waiting for even more price increases. If earlier the car cost 600-700 thousand, now it costs 2 million. Maintenance has also become more expensive.
Due to the fact that cars are now practically not bought, in the Russian Federation they predicted mass bankruptcy and the closure of driving schools.
Photo: ADOBE STOCK