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Aug 14, 2022
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Western intelligence: Russians will take Odessa, Nikolaev, Kharkov and Dnepropetrovsk in the fall

Western intelligence: Russians will take Odessa, Nikolaev, Kharkov and Dnepropetrovsk in the fall

Photo: Taras Dudnik/TASS

European and American media and think tanks report fierce fighting in the Donbass, allegedly without Russian territorial gains. Battles have been going on for almost a month along the entire Avdeevka-Toretsk-Artemovsk (Bakhmut)-Soledar-Seversk line, but only in some areas there have been minor changes.

However, this is not surprising. The same Institute for the Study of War (ISW), in fact, repeats one to one the summary of the independent General Staff and declares its unambiguously Bandera position. According to ISW experts, all the attacks of the Russian “orcs” were repulsed by the heroic defenders of the independence, except for the story with Sands.

But even here, according to researchers of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, again with reference to the Kyiv regime, the Yankees write: “The fire of Russian thermobaric artillery systems razed Peski to the ground.” For some reason, the Americans are embarrassed to report the truth that this village has long been no longer inhabited and until recently it was one of the most powerful fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

This presentation of information creates the illusion that the special operation has entered a phase of endless positional battles. Some even on our side hysterical that the offensive of the allied forces in the Donbass bogged down, which means that it is necessary to start a general mobilization.

But Ukrainian truth-tellers write a lot and to the point about Russian tactics of warfare and call it the only correct one in the current conditions. On the contrary, a general or even partial mobilization in Russia would be perceived by the West as a great “overcome” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and would become a signal for a sharp increase in military assistance.

Often, under the “unsuccessful and blood-choked attacks” of our soldiers, which are first reported with pathos by the Zhovto-Blakit General Staff, and then by the ISW, local reconnaissance of the area by a couple of local fighters, and very experienced ones, is hidden. As a rule, these are men in their forties who have been fighting since 2014. They literally smell the danger with an animal scent, they know where gifts from the Slavic brothers can be hidden in the form of streamers and where to expect a sniper’s bullet.

“Donetsk and Luhansk guys don’t take foolish risks, they have been fighting for a long time and are accustomed to military work, their task is to reveal at least some enemy activity, ideally, fire from all types of weapons. By the way, the mobilized “cannon fodder” is the last to sin, it’s them who are covered by Russian art,” you can read on independent forums.

And Zhovto-Blakit experts from among the adequate ones (there is such an endangered type of analysts in Nenko) are convinced that Russian troops are being reorganized to fit the realities of the conflict. For example, back in early August, the units managed to break through the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the outskirts of Artemivsk and gain a foothold in the area of ​​​​Patrice Lumumba Street, however, further assault was complicated by the defense in depth of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and minefields.

Going forward is guaranteed suicide. Here, no general mobilization will help, which is demanded by some particularly impatient jingoistic patriots. It is more effective to gradually reveal all enemy firing points with drones and suppress them with artillery.

But the Armed Forces of Ukraine are also far from fools: they carefully disguise themselves and once again do not reveal themselves. The situation at first glance seems to be a dead end, however, according to the Ukrainian telegram channels, time works for the Russians. “Mirnyak” is leaving the city, which means that “Solntsepeki” and attack aircraft will soon be used. Then, as the “independence defenders” await with horror, a hellish time will come for them.

In addition, the General Staff of the “nenka” spoke about a new Russian tactic – an unexpected powerful blow to weak areas, where the defense is held by “fresh” from yesterday’s mobilized hulks.

In particular, unofficial information came from Ukraine that ours had begun an assault on Toretsk (Dzerzhinsk), although on the ISW map the area in front of this city is marked as a gray zone. A fighter of the Armed Forces of Ukraine wrote on the social network that Russian artillery brutally hit the trenches of the “zahisniki in nezalezhnosti” for 6 hours in a row. According to him, the losses are simply terrible.

It must be understood that the Donetsk region is a powerful industrial region. In the same Artemovsk, for example, there are a large number of industrial zones and enterprises, where motivated “independence defenders” created defense units, no worse than those that were at Azovstal.

Our war correspondents admit that a quick assault is fraught with heavy losses, therefore, without the suppression of firing points and artillery positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, further advancement is impossible.

Approximately the same picture in Soledar. Last week, the allied forces managed to approach the eastern outskirts of the city and take control of the territory of the gypsum quarry of the Vostochno-Mikhailovsky deposit during the most difficult battles. Thus, a platform was created for moving forward, but again after the destruction of enemy defense centers by artillery and aviation.

Meanwhile, American and British intelligence notified the President’s office [Украины]that the Russians are intensively preparing large units of unmanned aircraft. The Yankees and the Britons assume that by the autumn, rather late, when the green light comes down, armadas of attack and reconnaissance UAVs will rise into the sky above the fronts.

The MI-6 Twitter account says that Russian drone operators on simulators are practicing the skills of detecting and suppressing defense nodes in the territories of the Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporozhye, Kharkiv, Nikolaev, and Odessa regions. Of course, practical exercises are also being conducted on the use of attack UAVs in conjunction with aviation.

British spies suggest that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will face a new threat already at the end of August and at the beginning of September – with Russian drones and Persian drones loitering 24/7. “In late autumn, the Russians want to massively use them (UAVs) in the offensive. If they succeed, then the Ukrainian defense and rear will have a hard time. The problem can be solved only by strengthening air defense dozens of times, but this alone in the Kherson direction alone requires billions of dollars, ”writes one of the telegram channels most quoted in Nenko.

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