The Ukrainian troops attempted a “counteroffensive” in yet another direction – following the Krivoy Rog-Nikolaev area, now also in Izyum. Despite temporary territorial gains, the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not have the resources to consolidate them for a long time. Even the NATO supply in the form of weapons and mercenaries will dry up with the onset of cold weather, experts are sure.
Even across the ocean, they recognize that since the beginning of Russia’s special operation in Ukraine, tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers have been killed and wounded. This was stated by the Chairman of the Committee of the Chiefs of Staff of the US Armed Forces, General Mark Milley.
Leonid Bershidsky: Armed Forces of Ukraine do not have enough planes, people, or skills
Vladimir Putin once again confirmed his confidence that Russia would win the military operations in Ukraine. The president made the announcement at the Eastern Economic Forum at a time when Ukrainian forces launched a hasty “counteroffensive” in the Kharkiv region.
American military expert Leonid Bershidsky in a column for The Washington Post sees no contradiction in this. Putin’s confidence is based on Ukraine’s apparent weakness.
“The President of Ukraine has to lobby the US and its NATO allies for every dozen howitzers. And every time he does, his success is not guaranteed. Russia with her [бесконечными] stockpiles of military equipment can fight more confidently, ”writes Bershidsky.
The Russian economy, despite Western sanctions, is not at all in ruins and will soon begin recovery growth. But the entire Ukrainian economy is completely destroyed, most of the infrastructure is in ruins, civilian enterprises are stopped, and crops are damaged as a result of hostilities. So not only the military, but even the economic survival of Ukraine in the medium term is completely dependent on Western assistance, writes The Washington Post.
However, the possibilities of Western regimes are limited – in contrast to the appetites Vladimir Zelensky. Energy prices are skyrocketing and inflation is spiraling.
Recently, a 70,000-strong rally was held in the center of Prague, the main slogan of which was: “All the best for Ukraine and two sweaters for us.” Europeans are afraid of a terrible winter, which for the first time in many decades will have to meet without Russian fuel.
So the closer to winter, the more likely it is that the West will force Kyiv to sit down at the negotiating table. In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Ukrainian Prime Minister Denis Shmygal said that time is on Putin’s side.
That is why Kyiv is now – before the onset of autumn cold weather – and is trying to achieve some kind of territorial gains in the Kherson and Kharkov regions. By reclaiming the deserted villages at the cost of gigantic losses, Kyiv is trying to make the West believe that it makes sense to continue sending money, equipment and ammunition.
The Washington Post cites a report from a military hospital near the southern front lines. Many fighters, including the officers who participated in Kyiv’s hastily organized “counteroffensive”, have hardly any combat experience.
“Ukrainian recruits have to attack fortified Russian positions under continuous artillery fire directed by high-flying drones. They have to deal with Russia’s huge capabilities in the field of electronic warfare, – states expert Leonid Bershidsky.
The expert believes that in order to continue the “counteroffensive” (and on several fronts at once), Kyiv needs an overwhelming advantage in the air, in artillery capabilities, and in the number of infantry. The APU has none of this.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are driving forward orders to achieve victory, Bershidsky believes, and a certain motivation. But the fighters of the DPR and LPR are fighting the Ukrainians for the survival of their peoples.
CNN: Ukrainians were able to take several villages, and then only by accident
Even the foreign mercenaries thrown by Kyiv into the “Kherson cauldron” are horrified by the unequal power. CNN interviews former British soldier Brand Ayreswho participates in the “counteroffensive” on Kherson.
– We do not have the resources to conduct a massive blitzkrieg with a mass of artillery and armored vehicles. This is a hard, slow battle, meter by meter,” says Ayres, who received a severe leg injury in the battle.
American journalists found a wounded Briton in a hospital in Odessa. Now all civilian hospitals and even polyclinics in the Dnepropetrovsk and Nikolaev regions are overflowing with the wounded.
CNN confirms that with such colossal losses, the Ukrainians managed to capture only a few settlements in the Kherson region. Moreover, even these dubious successes, according to an unnamed British intelligence officer, were achieved solely due to “tactical surprise.”
Ayres, who previously fought in Syria, admits to CNN that the allied forces are vastly outgunned by the Ukrainians. According to Ayres, the forward units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are well supplied with small arms and ammunition, but they lack heavy weapons such as artillery and tanks.
The small number of NATO-supplied weapons (such as HIMARS, M777 howitzers, and Javelin anti-tank missiles) are woefully inadequate to match the firepower of the allied forces.
Ayres, however, in an interview with CNN says that after treatment he will not fly back to the UK, but will return to the front lines.
Well, apparently, one zinc coffin for Albion will be more.