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Jun 7, 2022
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US opens nuclear Pandora’s box

The sharp activation of the United States in the Asia-Pacific basin may soon increase the number of nuclear countries there and build up the existing arsenals. The ongoing discussion in the United States about the desirability of lowering the nuclear threshold and the acceptability of using tactical nuclear weapons can facilitate the acquisition of weapons of mass destruction by several countries in the region at once. Another factor is the building of the “eastern front of the Cold War” against China. The Americans, in exchange for joining it, can stop curbing the nuclear ambitions of Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, and Australia.

A similar situation arose at the very beginning of the 1950s, when the creation of Red China (1949) and the Korean War (1950-1953) forced Washington to drastically change its policy towards Japan and Taiwan. The role of an underdeveloped agrarian appendage prepared for the occupied Land of the Rising Sun was replaced by a new one – an industrialized rear in the Korean War and the subsequent containment of the USSR, China, North Korea, and later Vietnam. Memories of a sharp Japanese blade haunted Americans after the end of the occupation in 1952. The kids weren’t even allowed to make rubber-powered airplanes, though they hardly looked like the formidable Zero fighters of the Pearl Harbor days. The aviation industry has not revived, aircraft carriers are still disguised as helicopter carriers. Statements by right-wing nationalists, including Prime Ministers Nakasone and Abe, about the need to acquire their own atomic bomb were suppressed by the efforts of Japanese peacekeepers and American “curators” of the still not completely sovereign country.

A breakthrough becomes possible under the current premier Kishide. President Biden, who met with him in May, supported Tokyo’s dream of regaining great power status and promised to promote Japan to the permanent membership of the UN Security Council. And it only has nuclear powers. Japan’s entry into the KVAD military-diplomatic group, Kishida’s upcoming trip to the NATO summit, and the promise of Taiwan’s military support can help realize the cherished dream of a “made in Japan” nuclear bomb. The accumulated plutonium at Japanese nuclear power plants is enough to create three to four thousand warheads. Delivery vehicles are also ready – Japanese rockets have been launching satellites into space for many years.

After the defeat of the Kuomintang and the proclamation of the People’s Republic of China on October 1, 1949, the Americans at first intended to leave Taiwan to its fate and write it off under the “irreplaceable losses” column. But the Korean War, which began on June 25, 1950, overnight gave the island the strategic importance of an “unsinkable aircraft carrier.” It was protected from the “peaceful reunification” that was already being prepared by the PLA forces, they began to pump it up with weapons, and create a modern industry. With the knowledge of the Americans, a nuclear program began in 1961, which, already in an advanced phase, the same Americans ordered to cover up in 1976, on the eve of the normalization of Washington-Beijing relations. Shortly after the final betrayal by the Americans of their Taiwanese ally in order to establish strategic relations with the PRC, the then “President” Chiang Ching-kuo in 1978 ordered the work to continue secretly. The impressive scientific and industrial potential of Taiwan made it possible to acquire its own nuclear weapons in the shortest possible time. Perhaps it really is in the hands of the military. Now the question of the need for official possession of the atomic bomb is already being raised. On the pages of the English-language official Taipei Times, a political scientist from the National University Chen Shi-min wrote about this in January 2022. As for delivery vehicles, in addition to the American-supplied aircraft, the island’s armed forces have had their own Yun Feng cruise missiles with a range of 1,500 km since August 2019. They are capable of hitting targets deep in Chinese territory. So the head of the Taiwanese administration, Tsai Ing-wen, can repeat the famous words of Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir: “Firstly, we do not have nuclear weapons, and secondly, if necessary, we will use them.”

South Korea is also among the “threshold states” capable of quickly creating their own nuclear weapons and delivery vehicles. The first research there began in the 1960s with the help of the Americans. In 1973, the government developed a long-term plan for the development of nuclear weapons. However, in exchange for the promise of the American “nuclear umbrella”, Seoul signed the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in 1975. Work in the nuclear field continued – in 1978, the first nuclear power plant was launched in Busan. The independent development of technologies for the radiochemical processing of spent nuclear fuel and uranium enrichment was secretly carried out. From time to time the secret became clear. In 2004, information about the work of South Korea in the field of uranium enrichment and plutonium separation, in violation of its obligations, became the property of the IAEA.

Now Seoul is separated from the acquisition of nuclear weapons only by the permission of Washington and the corresponding political decision of its own. The permission of the Americans may be the price for participation in the emerging “Eastern Front of the Cold War” against China. The new president Yoon Seok-yeol, despite South Korea’s close economic ties with China and an impressive amount of trade, has already begun to make strong anti-Chinese statements.

A powerful incentive for Seoul could be the acquisition of nuclear weapons by Japan. Hoping for US security treaty guarantees, Seoul did not speed up its military nuclear program even in response to the atomic bomb explosions in North Korea. But the age-old distrust of the Land of the Rising Sun is so deeply embedded in the collective unconscious of Koreans that Seoul may respond in the most unpredictable way. The colonial period from 1910 to 1945 was a time of monstrous cruelty by the Japanese against the Koreans. They were forbidden to speak their native language, men were taken to the mines and mines of Japan and South Sakhalin, and women were taken to the field brothels of the imperial army. Hatred of Japan, along with love for peppered kimchi cabbage, are almost the only common bonds of South and North Korea today. The nuclear status of hated Japan can not only stimulate the nuclear missile program of Pyongyang and Seoul, but also push the rapprochement of the two divided halves of the nation. It can begin with the creation of a joint nuclear-missile fist in one configuration or another.

Quite unexpectedly last fall, the topic of nuclear Australia arose. This country in the early 1950s participated in the creation of nuclear weapons, but not its own, but English. On the island-continent, uranium was mined, a nuclear test site was created, charges were detonated on it, and delivery vehicles were tested. As a token of gratitude, Canberra counted on the transfer of part of the British nuclear arsenal under its control. However, Her Majesty’s Government carried the spoon past the mouth of an important member of the British Commonwealth of Nations. In the 1960s, discussions began on the advisability of financing their own nuclear program. But already in 1972, it was decided to abandon the acquisition of nuclear weapons and the necessary scientific and technical potential. Australia remained under the US “nuclear umbrella” under the Security Treaty.

But then, as they say, the card itself went into the hands. The new owner of the White House, in order to contain China, created the military bloc AUKUS (AUKUS) consisting of Australia, England and the United States. At the same time, Canberra was entrusted with a responsible task – to build submarines with nuclear power plants to counter the growing Navy of the Celestial Empire. Australia will receive technology from the allies to build nuclear submarines and become the seventh country in the world with such a fleet. The process of creating a nuclear fleet will inevitably provide a flow of information and skills that are critical in the work on and on nuclear weapons.

The new US anti-Chinese strategy in the Pacific is becoming a Pandora’s box, from which terrible troubles are about to break out. In response to the emergence of new nuclear actors, China and Russia are guaranteed to build up or redistribute their nuclear arsenals. The acquisition of their own atomic bombs and missiles can be taken care of by large countries that have not yet thought about such a status – Indonesia and Vietnam. But most importantly, the Americans are again thirsty for war, thirsty for blood.

Hiroshima and Nagasaki happened in Asia and may happen again there!

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