Apr 27, 2022
0 View
0 0

Transnistrian provocation

On the evening of April 25, unknown people fired grenade launchers at the Ministry of State Security of the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR), and the next day, the radio center towers near the village of Mayak were blown up and a military unit near the village of Parkany was hit. The Transnistrian authorities have decided to introduce a “red” level of terrorist threat in the republic. The terrorists achieved some effect: the festive parade in honor of Victory Day on May 9 was canceled; educational institutions have been transferred to remote work until the end of the academic year; checkpoints have been set up at the entrance to the cities of the PMR, inspecting citizens and vehicles; law enforcement agencies have been transferred to an enhanced mode of service. There were two main versions as to who could be behind the attacks: Kyiv or Chisinau. Moldovan authorities look confused. The President of the Republic of Moldova, Maia Sandu, urgently convened a meeting of the Security Council and made an official statement. She stressed that she welcomes the peaceful dialogue with Tiraspol and supports the diplomatic resolution of the conflict, and also promised not to impose a blockade of Transnistria. Sandu was able to win the 2020 presidential election, relying on the Moldovan diasporas abroad and taking advantage of the fall in the ratings of the left-wing pro-Russian forces. And in 2021, she consolidated her success in the early parliamentary elections by bringing her pocket Action and Solidarity party to power. However, none of the acute social and economic problems of the Republic of Moldova could be solved by the Westerners, and after a few months their rating collapsed. According to a survey conducted at the end of 2021 by IDIS Viitorul, the Bloc of Communists and Socialists was supported in Moldova by almost 38% of those surveyed, Action and Solidarity (PAS) – by about the same number. Another 13% would have voted for the Shor party, which was the partner of the socialists in the parliamentary majority. Since then, the situation has not changed much. Therefore, if the elections to the Moldovan parliament were held today, conditionally pro-Russian forces would form the majority. In such a situation, an attempt by Chisinau to conduct a military operation against Transnistria would be suicidal for the Moldovan authorities. So far, the official Chisinau has enough of the sharp reaction of the Moldovan society to the decision to ban the St. George ribbon; it has already been officially condemned by the People’s Assembly of Gagauzia. It is not in Sandu’s interest to play with fire any further. So far, the evidence points to Kyiv being behind the crimes committed in Transnistria. PMR President Vadim Krasnoselsky made an appeal in which he stated that “traces of the attacks lead to Ukraine.” According to him, “those who organized this attack have the goal of dragging Transnistria into the conflict.” On the morning of April 25 (almost a day before the attack on Tiraspol), the editor of the Censor website banned in Russia and a former adviser to the Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Yuri Butusov, wrote on the Internet: “There is only one chance left to save Mariupol – a strike on Transnistria.” Butusov explained his logic by the need to capture Russian citizens living in the PMR “captured” (hostages) and to establish control over the ammunition depots located in Pridnestrovie. At the same time, SMS messages from the SBU began to arrive on mobile phones of residents of the PMR, urging them to urgently leave Pridnestrovie under the threat of rocket and artillery strikes. The purpose of the provocation was, of course, not to “save” the Transnistrian people, but to provoke panic. Later, information appeared in the telegram channels that the terrorists really penetrated the PMR from the territory of Ukraine, and after attacks on Pridnestrovian facilities, they returned back. According to military commissar Yuri Kotenok, Kyiv’s interest in the escalation in Transnistria is obvious: “This is Europe’s largest ammunition depot in the village of Kolbasna, left over from the USSR, just 2 km from the border of Ukraine. Its capture would allow the Kyiv regime to solve many problems. It’s no secret, that the Bandera formations are currently experiencing an acute shortage of Soviet-standard artillery ammunition, and the Western masters have extremely limited opportunities to cover it.” Kyiv’s plans may go further. Ukrainian officials hastened to disown the attacks on the PMR, hoping that in Tiraspol they would blame the Moldovan authorities for everything and hit them. Given that Sandu enjoys the full support of official Bucharest, the “independents” intended to provoke Romania, a member of NATO and a country on whose territory a large contingent of the alliance is now located, into an armed confrontation. It is possible that, having not yet achieved the fulfillment of their plan, the Ukrainian special services will soon try to repeat the attacks in order to provoke an aggravation of the Transnistrian-Moldovan conflict and Romania’s entry into it. Here, the only reliable option to prevent further provocative actions is for the participants of the Russian special operation to reach the border with Transnistria and push Ukrainian units away from it.

Article Categories:

Leave a Reply