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Nov 9, 2021
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“The Japanese must thank Comrade Stalin every day …”

Israeli political scientist chills hot Japanese heads

Former head of the Israeli special service “Nativ” Yakov Kedmi often says what Russian political scientists are embarrassed to say. And about the role of Russia and the USSR in world history, and about the alleged “The historically failed idea of ​​communism”, and about Moscow’s sometimes overly conciliatory reaction to the hostile attacks of the collective West. The political scientist’s wide admission to the Russian media allowed him to become a popular analyst and commentator. The thoughts and judgments expressed by Kedmi are free from the ideological component and are based on analysis from the standpoint of common sense.

Recently, Kedmi has undertaken to comment on issues related to the Far East and the Asia-Pacific region as a whole. Comment on and make interesting forecasts of the consequences of the US military policy, into which not only American vassals from the Asia-Pacific region (Japan, Australia, etc.) are increasingly drawn, but also European NATO member states far from the East. This time my attention was attracted by the statements of Yakov Kedmi about Tokyo’s revanchist demands to “return” the Kuril Islands belonging to our state.

As reported by the news agency DEITA.RUanswering on air ITON TV When asked by a Vladivostok resident about the “territorial dispute” between Japan and Russia, an Israeli political scientist said: “The Japanese must thank Comrade Stalin every day for canceling the order to land on Hokkaido, otherwise they would have sung differently.”

And this is not hyperbole. Let us briefly recall how the events developed in the summer of 1945. Having promised in Yalta (February 1945) in response to numerous requests from Roosevelt and Churchill to enter the war against Japan two or three months after the surrender of Germany, Stalin gave the order to complete the military operations to defeat the Armed Forces of Japan. Among the plans to liberate Northeast China, Korea, South Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands from the invaders was the plan of an operation for the symbolic landing of Soviet troops on the limited territory of the island of Hokkaido.

As it became known later, the Japanese government and command, in order to prevent the USSR from entering the war, in which case Japan had no choice but to surrender, showed willingness to “voluntarily” return to the Soviet Union the southern half of Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands that historically belonged to the Russian Empire. In an extreme case, the option of transferring the USSR and the island of Hokkaido was considered, which, unlike Sakhalin and the Kuriles, Moscow did not claim.

It turned out that, fearing a guerrilla war in the “sacred lands of the Yamato nation,” the American General Staff officers, before President Truman came to power and the Americans had an atomic bomb, had a plan to occupy the territory of the Japanese Islands by the troops of the United States, Great Britain, the USSR and China. At the same time, the zone of occupation by Soviet troops was to become not only the second largest island of Japan, Hokkaido, but also the entire northeast of the country’s largest island – Honshu, or Hondo.

Japan partition plans

There are idle claims that Stalin was afraid to occupy parts of Hokkaido when Truman reacted negatively to the proposal for a symbolic landing. In our opinion, the situation was different. The Soviet leader did not consider it right for the sake of such a symbolic occupation to worsen relations with the allies. And spend resources on the maintenance of the inhabitants of the occupied part of the northern Japanese island, necessary to maintain the life of the population, including the Japanese, in the liberated South Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands. However, there is no doubt that if the occupation of Hokkaido was necessary for one reason or another, Stalin would have carried it out even if Truman disagreed.

In this case, as Kedmi correctly notes, the Japanese would have to seek not the Kuril Islands, but the withdrawal of Soviet troops from Hokkaido and the signing of a peace treaty on the condition of full and final recognition of all the Kuril Islands as Soviet.

Explaining Moscow’s interest in preserving all the Kuril Islands and the straits between them, the Israeli political scientist notes that Russia is interested in the Kuril Islands not from the point of view of relations with Japan, but from the point of view of the penetration of American submarines into the Sea of ​​Okhotsk and their approach to the Russian coast.

And we can agree with this. Russian experts have long been explaining the important military-strategic importance of the deep-water Kuril straits that do not freeze in winter, which allow Russian nuclear submarines to enter the Pacific Ocean secretly underwater. Not to mention the fact that any island transferred to Japan, sooner or later, would certainly have been used by the Americans for military purposes against our country. This factor becomes prevalent when explaining to the Japanese side the impossibility, given the preservation and strengthening of its strategic alliance with the United States, of transferring any Russian territories to Tokyo.

However, I cannot fully agree with Kedmi when he states that “Russia completely pays no attention to Japan, to its military power”… Perhaps this was not so long ago, when the Japanese armed forces were viewed as auxiliary, supporting the actions of the US Navy and Army. However, in recent years, there has been a qualitative leap in the acquisition by the Japanese “self-defense forces” recreated in violation of the Constitution of the most modern weapons, including aircraft carriers and means of delivering “preventive” strikes against neighboring states. The new Prime Minister of the Land of the Rising Sun, Fumio Kishida, announced Japan’s readiness to launch such strikes.

The following statement by Kedmi can be perceived as a kind of grotesque: “With regard to Japan, I think Russia relies on the fact that the Koreans of the South and North, uniting, not uniting, will solve the problem of Japan once and for all.”… Theoretically, if the armed forces of the Republic of Korea and the DPRK accumulated in confrontation are united, then, no doubt, Japan will not be able to resist them without the help of the United States. However, so far such a Korean-Japanese war is unlikely. South Korea, like Japan, is a US protectorate state with American military bases on its territory and is not going to unite with the DPRK for a war with Japan in the foreseeable future.

At the same time, Tokyo is closely following the trends in relations between the South and North of the Korean Peninsula and is calculating various configurations of forces in the region. Evidence that Japan fears a rapprochement between Seoul and Pyongyang are the recent objections of the Japanese government to the formal end of the Korean War. The war ended in 1953, but until now the termination of the state of war has not been legally formalized, only an armistice was signed.

Tokyo is against the signing of a formal peace treaty between North and South, because it “could cause a negative reaction from the Japanese leadership,” according to the Kyodo agency, citing sources in the Japanese government. The Japanese government is said to fear that such an agreement will remove obstacles to the development of the North Korean nuclear program. Although this is rather a formal explanation of Tokyo’s reluctance to see a united Korea.

The remarks made by Kedmi, in our opinion, deserve attention in connection with the creation of a ring of encirclement around Russia and China, the formation of the “eastern flank of NATO” against them. As long as our Western “partners” do not hesitate to involve allies and countries dependent on Washington in the anti-Chinese and anti-Russian front, why don’t we think about closer military cooperation with Asian states, against which the US and Japan are going to deliver “preemptive strikes.” For example, to connect the Armed Forces of the DPRK to the collective military exercises of Russia, China and other countries. This would surely cool the hot heads of the Japanese supporters of such strikes. For we are directly declared a war, while a hybrid. And in war as in war, it is known …

In the photo: the aftermath of the American bombing of Tokyo, 1945, electricearl.com

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