Aug 7, 2022
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The front has moved

The front has moved, ladies and gentlemen of the jury!

After a month that has passed since the liberation of Lisichanka, during which mainly artillery processing of the fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was carried out along the entire length of the front in the Donbass from Seversk to Avdiivka, a large-scale offensive began.

The entire front in the Donbass began to move. And this movement goes in one direction – to the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The fighting began immediately for several settlements – Soledar, Bakhmut (Artemovsk), Kodema (south of Bakhmut), Sands, Avdeevka, Marinka.

Probably for the first time in the entire period of the special operation, movement began at the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in several places at once on such a long section of the front. In any case, there has never been an offensive on such a broad front in the Donbass.

As a result of this offensive, the village of Peski, from which Donetsk and other cities were intensively shelled for 7 years, is already completely occupied by the forces of the RF Armed Forces and the NM of the DPR. It is being cleaned up.

Street fighting began in Bakhmut (Artemovsk). Units of PMC Wagner entrenched themselves on the outskirts of the city near Patrice Lumumba Street.

In Soledar, the eastern outskirts (the Knauf plant) are occupied. The advance deep into the city continues.

The village of Gladosovo (near Gorlovka) was liberated.

About half of the city is occupied in Marinka. Fights are underway for the waste heap, which is the dominant height. The attack on Marinka turned out to be so quick and unexpected for the enemy that one of the colonels of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who was destroyed, did not even have time to escape from there, his documents were seized. According to some reports, this is the second colonel destroyed during the offensive. It was during the offensive, and not as a result of an air strike.

In Avdiivka, an offensive is underway from two directions at once – from the east and from the north.

In addition, movement began on the Kharkov front, in the Balakleya region. There are battles for the villages of Gusarovka and Bayrak. Whether this means that an equally large offensive is starting in the Kharkov direction, or these battles are of a local nature in order to improve positions, is not yet clear.

But it is clear that the complete and final liberation of Donbass is approaching. He has a month or a half left.

Most of the settlements that are currently being fought for are small towns and cities that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will no longer be able to hold for a long time.

Soledar – 10 thousand inhabitants (pre-war population).
Avdiivka – 32 thousand.
Bakhmut – 72 thousand.
Marinka – 10 thousand.

Avdiivka has been turned into a continuous fortified area, besides, there is a large industrial zone on the territory of the city, so the liberation of this city may take longer than in other areas.

Bakhmut is comparable in size to Lisichansk, but is located in a lowland and is not so convenient for defense, so its release should not be particularly delayed.

The liberation of cities and towns, for which the fighting has now begun, will take one to two weeks, hardly more.

The situation is very similar to the liberation of the Lisichansk-Gorskoe-Zolotoye triangle, on the outskirts of which there were battles for a whole month, after which the APU ran out of reserves, the defense began to rapidly fall apart, and within a week the entire area was liberated along with Lisichansk.

Something similar happened in the area of ​​the Uglegorsk TPP, during which the fighting continued for about a month, which ended in a similar way – the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine ran out and the defense of the entire area crumbled, several settlements were liberated within a week.

It will probably be the same with the Seversk-Soledar-Bakhmut line and the nearby settlements (Kodema, Zaitsevo, Opytnoye) – they will also be liberated one after another within a week, because the release of any of them facilitates the offensive in the remaining ones.

At about the same time, we can expect the liberation and cleansing of Avdiivka and Maryinka.

After that, under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass, only one line of fortified areas will remain – Slavyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkovka, Konstantinovka, Toretsk.

The fortified areas located there will also probably be first treated with artillery for two to three weeks, and only then will the liberation and cleansing begin.

But let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

The main thing is that the movement has begun and soon the list of liberated cities of Donbass will be replenished. This means that the daily shelling of Donetsk will soon end.

This is not the finish line yet – the finish line will be when only Slavyansk and Kramatorsk remain to be liberated. But she’s not far. Quite close. It remains to overcome the line of fortified areas from Seversk to Bakhmut and the troops will be at the finish line.

The front has moved, ladies and gentlemen of the jury!

The special operation continues!

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