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Apr 8, 2021
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Syrian knot is tightening

Long-term intervention in Syria’s internal affairs planned

In Syria, government forces continue to attack the last stronghold of jihadists in the province of Idlib. The offensive involves the Russian Aerospace Forces, attacking the positions of the militants; up to several dozen flights are made per day. So, on April 4, more than 90 strikes were made in the Al-Tabga area (At-Tabka)… Additionally, Syrian helicopters drop barrel bombs on jihadist positions.

The government army and al-Quds brigades continue to sweep the desert east of Deir ez-Zor, scouring populated areas in search of militants. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) records the elimination of 880 militants of the IS group banned in Russia *, starting in April 2019.

Expands its presence in Syria and Iran. 15 thousand Iranian militia fighters on the western bank of the Euphrates received small and medium-range missiles at their disposal. Local residents recorded military transports with this cargo, which came under the protection of Iranian military personnel. Some of them went to the Deir ez-Zor province, and some to the Raqqa region.

However, the expulsion of the forces of international terrorism from Syria does not automatically mean the end of the crisis in this country. The United States and Israel do not leave Bashar al-Assad alone and are planning long-term intervention in the internal affairs of the SAR. Arriving at the White House, Biden ordered an increase in air strikes against Iranian units in Syria. Since then, the US-led coalition has struck several strikes against Iranian units in the east of the SAR, repeatedly attacked columns of militias and warehouses with Iranian weapons in Deir ez-Zor province.

US Secretary of State E. Blinken and National Security Advisor D. Sullivan consider it necessary to expand cooperation with Jabhat al-Nusra and adjacent groups. According to former CIA director David Petraeus (David Petraeus), these groups can be “Purged of the most radical members and become quite useful in the fight against the Assad regime”… Despite the assertions of the United States about the “moderation” of “al-Nusra” * (banned in Russia), the organization Human Rights Watch since 2013, she has continued to record episodes of atrocities of her militants. However, despite the revelations Human Rights Watch, Al-Nusra continues to receive American weapons through Saudi Arabia and Turkey.

Washington is also stepping up support for Kurdish separatists in northeastern Syria and is not going to withdraw American troops from the Syrian oil fields. Given that 90% of the oil fields have been captured by Assad’s opponents, the country is in dire need of fuel. Syrian Prime Minister Hussein Arnus said on April 5 that Israeli navy attacks on seven tankers en route to Syria with oil and oil products had taken place in the Red Sea. Most of them carried oil from Iran. The information was confirmed by Wall Street Magazine, which reported that Israel has attacked ships carrying oil to Syria at least 12 times from the end of 2019 to the present.

The National Center for Security Studies, close to the Israeli government, has released a report calling for to expand intervention in Syria. According to the authors of the report, Israel should focus on establishing control in three regions: southern Syria, Syria’s border with Iraq and Syria’s border with Lebanon. The authors of the report believe that the expansion of Israeli operations on the Iraqi-Syrian border will prevent the creation of the Iran-Syria-Lebanon corridor, which will arise in the event of the evacuation of American troops from the SAR. In addition, Israel must build a system of relations with the Syrian Kurds, providing them with the necessary military and economic assistance.

The report also talks about the need to adopt a new strategy, which will have the goal of eliminating President Assad, since he and his entourage are the environment in which Iran can freely concentrate its forces in the immediate vicinity of the Israeli borders. Israel’s previous strategy in the Syrian crisis, according to experts from the National Center for the Study of Security Problems, was wrong:

– the calculations that the strikes of the Israeli air force on the Iranian troops in the depths of Syria would prevent the increase in the number of these troops were not justified;

– hopes that Russia would help to get the Iranians out of Syria were not justified;

– there is no reason to believe that the preservation of the government in Damascus under the rule of Bashar al-Assad is better than complete chaos in the country;

the authors of the report call for support of the plan of the Gulf states, which provides for a regime change in Syria and the elimination of Assad.

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