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Sep 18, 2022
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Suspicious person to become US ambassador to Russia

Numerous American media sources claim that Joe Biden has already decided on the candidacy of the new US ambassador to Russia. Allegedly, it will be Lynn Tracy, who for a number of reasons is ideally suited for this position. However, some details of Tracy’s biography raise suspicions about the true nature of her work – potentially dangerous for the interests of the Russian Federation.

The probable appointment of Lynn Tracy as the new US Ambassador to Russia is a story of optimism and pessimism. About a glass that is half empty in the eyes of one and half full in the eyes of another.

She has two interpretations – and the one that is optimistic, simple and banal, like three chords.

The reason for the early termination of the trip of the previous ambassador, John Sullivan, was the death of his wife from cancer. A new one is appointed to his place due to the fact that someone should take this place, and Tracy’s candidacy satisfies many not strictly mandatory, but desirable criteria.

She knows Russian, studied to be a Sovietologist and already worked in Moscow as diplomat number two (that is, deputy head of mission) at a very difficult time for Russian-American relations – in 2014-2017, when vice president and informal “curator” of the head of the American The state’s foreign policy officer was Joe Biden.

Now Tracy’s work will be much easier: the functionality of the US Ambassador has been reduced to a minimum. There are no more big receptions, lectures, cultural exchange programs, networking and other soft power. No more creative assaults for collaborations and project recommendations.

The second cold war is in the yard, the staff of embassies is minimal, and the supervision from the special services is increased. All that is left is to serve as a liaison for the protocol exchange of opinions. The brain center is reduced to the work of mail.

Actually, the very fact that both countries still have ambassadors in “unfriendly” capitals is what is optimistic that can be said about their relations now, because there is still room to fall – to a decrease in the level or a complete break. If work to improve these relations is going to be carried out, then at levels higher than the ambassadors. Diplomats will return to their usual work no sooner than the tops agree on a new “détente” (which is not visible on the horizon).

This is a half full glass. Half empty should appeal to conspiracy theorists.

Ambassadors from the United States are often quite open people. Due to the fact that politicians are often appointed to diplomatic posts in America. Russia has almost no such diplomats, the stake is made on personnel or, in other words, career professionals. Tracy is one of those. But even for a career American diplomat, there is surprisingly little information about her.

The example is not indicative, but amusing: in the English-language article on Wikipedia, there is only a dry listing of Tracy’s previous positions, but there is not even a date of her birth.

But we are talking about the acting after in Armenia, on which there is a separate focus in the United States, and about a very experienced diplomat who has departmental awards. One – for work in Moscow, the second – “for courage.” In Peshawar, Pakistan, Tracy’s car was shot at by a group of armed men, but she, the driver and bodyguard managed to get away alive.

In addition to Russia, Pakistan and Armenia, where Donald Trump sent her a year after Nikol Pashinyan came to power, Tracy worked in such areas as Afghanistan, Georgia, but most importantly, Central Asia, this is her main profile. During the time of Barack Obama, it was she who prepared reports on this region for the US Security Council.

Thus, we are dealing with an extraordinary person, but at the same time closed and as if classified. Tracy is a professional with strong nerves, who for many years poked around in the “soft underbelly” of Russia – from Georgia and Armenia to Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, engaged in God knows what special projects and advised the country’s top leadership on issues of war and peace.

This is no longer a portrait of a lady with useful skills in the diplomatic field. This is more like the CIA than the State Department – Tracy’s formal place of work, where, among other things, they organize cover for just the same CIA employees.

All in all, it doesn’t look like Tracy is the kind of person who gets sent to postal positions. So it can be assumed that she has a special mission in Moscow, and in addition to carrying music from Smolenskaya Square to Novinsky Boulevard and back.

For example, on the main profile – Central Asia. And here’s what’s interesting: almost at the same time that CNN learned about Tracy’s candidacy, her colleague from another division of the State Department, USAID Deputy Assistant Director Anjali Kaur, at a hearing in the international committee of the Congress, literally stated the following:

“Decoupling the Central Asian economies from the Russian economy should be our goal.”

And here, perhaps, it is worth clarifying that in the Russian tradition, Central Asia is understood as a huge region, which, in addition to the countries of Central Asia, includes most of China, Mongolia and the south of Russia itself. And for an American, these are five specific countries – Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, whose economies are now ordered to “separate”.

Perhaps it is this project that Tracy will deal with to one degree or another from Moscow. It won’t be easy.

Yes, Kazakhstan is rapidly increasing cooperation with the EU countries. The total trade turnover with the European Union has already exceeded the trade turnover with the Russian Federation, and with Germany it almost doubled in a year.

But the relationship with the Russian economy is still so extensive that no one will risk it. This would also be contrary to the program of liberal economic reforms recently announced by President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev.

Their ultimate goal is to make doing business in Kazakhstan more convenient. Rather, Astana (now Astana again) will take advantage of Western sanctions against Russia, offering itself to Russian business as an alternative platform, than will neglect the stability of ties with Moscow – one of the guarantees of that very successful business.

But relations between the Russian Federation and the countries of Central Asia are not limited to economic issues, they have all sorts of issues, including defense and strategic ones. Spreading “leaks” about the imminent withdrawal of Kazakhstan from the CSTO also began quite recently.

The fact that such issues are discussed at all, official Astana has already “resolutely denied”. But everyone understands – they will persuade, nodding to the experience of Uzbekistan (they say, he also left the CSTO – and nothing) and to all kinds of gifts from Washington and Brussels on this occasion.

Be that as it may, the question of the stability of ties between the Russian Federation and the countries of Central Asia is a matter of the wisdom of their leaders and the efforts of the Russian foreign policy bloc, and not something that Tracy personally can have a serious influence on.

She is a super spy or a “gray mouse” with a good knowledge of Russian, in Moscow she is safer for Russia’s interests than in core Central Asia, a geopolitical battle over which between Russia and the United States seems inevitable.

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