By the beginning of February, the daily increase in coronavirus cases in Russia could reach 65,000 people. This opinion was expressed by Viktor Zakharov, head of the Department of Mathematical Modeling of Energy Systems, in an interview with TASS.
A group of researchers led by Zakharov developed a mathematical CIR model capable of predicting an increase in the incidence of COVID-19 a month in advance.
“Our model predicts that by February 1, the number of new detected daily cases of coronavirus infection in Russia could reach 65,000,” the scientist said.
According to the forecast of experts, the total number of infected people will exceed 11.5 million people. In addition, in February, the number of simultaneously ill with covid in the country may reach 1 million people, today the number of so-called active cases is 623,599.
It is noted that in the middle of the second decade of February, a new surge in the incidence is possible, but after that the growth in the number of new cases will slow down or the daily incidence will begin to decrease.
Earlier, the head of Rospotrebnadzor, Anna Popova, admitted that the daily incidence of covid would reach 100,000.