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Oct 12, 2020
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Russia may reach a plateau in COVID-19 in 10-20 days – Rospotrebnadzor

According to Natalya Pshenichnaya, deputy director of the Central Research Institute of Epidemiology of Rospotrebnadzor, this will be facilitated by the transfer of some of the staff to remote work, school holidays and the massive observance of security measures.

"Perhaps this will happen within the next 10-20 days, since many restrictive measures have already been introduced in late September - early October," RIA Novosti quotes a representative of the department.

Rospotrebnadzor hopes that the transfer of some employees to "remote work", autumn holidays at schools, as well as widespread observance of preventive measures by citizens - wearing masks and social distancing - will contribute to the speedy exit to the plateau. Pshenichnaya noted that the slowdown in the growth rate of the incidence will not be noticeable immediately due to the long incubation period of the coronavirus. A minimum of 1.5 incubation periods must elapse.

According to the epidemiologist, in the future, the daily number of new cases of COVID-19 should not exceed 17-18 thousand, but it is still difficult to make accurate forecasts.

The specialist added that the incidence can be affected by a sharp cold snap, which negatively affects the body's resistance to respiratory infections. In addition, the expansion of testing is also contributing to the increase in the daily increase in coronavirus cases.

“But the growth is due to the identification of patients with clinical manifestations of the disease, the share of asymptomatic carriers in the country accounts for about 26% of all detected cases,” the expert concluded.

Last Friday, Russia recorded the largest daily increase in new cases of COVID-19 in the entire pandemic - 12 126 infected. Today, October 12, the headquarters reported 13,592 cases of coronavirus detected per day.

To date, the number of infected has reached 1,312,310, and in terms of the incidence rate, Russia ranks fourth in the world after the United States, India and Brazil.


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