2020 may be the most critical year for the Russian Internet. For the first time, the Runet economy is at risk of ending the year with zero growth rates. The director of the Russian Association for Electronic Communications (RAEC) Sergey Plugotarenko stated this in an exclusive interview with chernayakobra.ru.
In 2020, for the first time, we will have the most crisis scenario that only we have observed during the entire existence of the Internet, the digital economy. There is the most negative scenario, according to which we will not grow at all, that is, we will go to zero. This is a disaster. We got used to growing by tens of percent, but here it is zero. And some segments will fail altogether, - stated the interlocutor of chernayakobra.ru.
Plugotarenko also noted that there is a more positive forecast for the results of the year, in which the growth of the Runet economy will be 6-10%. But this indicator is also critical, he said.
The first quarter of 20 made a positive contribution - we continued to grow. If we also have growth in the fourth quarter of this year, because the pandemic ends, the state will come to support, a number of economic mechanisms will be included that will allow the industry to grow. Then there is a forecast so cautious that we will grow by 6-10% by the end of the year. But this is still a crisis for us. For the Internet, a crisis is what others can enjoy., - the expert says.
For the Russian Internet to remain competitive, it needs to grow at its usual pace. This requires support from the state, noted the head of RAEC.
“In order for us not to weaken that same digital race, in order to remain strong against the background of international players, so that the user does not feel the deterioration of the service, we need to continue to grow at the usual pace. Therefore, we also appeal to the state so that they lend their shoulder. We are formulating a number of proposals that can help us so that the very industries that can fail do not fail, ”said Plugotarenko.
Updated data on the scenarios of the Runet Economy in 2020 will be presented at the 24th Russian Internet Forum (RIF-2020), which will be held on September 21 at the Digital Business Space in Moscow.