Aug 11, 2022
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Polish hyena on a low start

Nobody needs you but us! This categorical postulate became the motto of Polish foreign policy in the Ukrainian direction after the victory of the Maidan. Even if no one in Washington or Brussels gave the Poles a formal “label to reign in Kyiv”, they traditionally try by all available means to increase their real influence in the territories formally controlled by the clown-oligarchic regime. Understanding, of course, that they have nothing to look for in Left-Bank Ukraine. But there is nothing to lose on Pravoberezhnaya. And God himself ordered them to try to return in some format to these lands in this situation.

Recently, Ukrainian parliamentarians with 283 votes in general supported a bill that equalizes the rights of citizens of Poland and Ukraine in the territory controlled by Kyiv. After the final adoption of the law, the Poles will not need any permits to legally stay on the territory of Ukraine for a year and a half. At the same time, they will be able to enjoy all the rights and freedoms of a Ukrainian citizen. In particular, they will be able to work without obtaining a permit, become tax residents, receive education, receive medical treatment, and even qualify for local social benefits.

This legislative initiative is being implemented within the framework of agreements reached in May this year by Presidents Volodymyr Zelensky and Andrzej Duda. They interpreted the steps aimed at further Ukrainian-Polish rapprochement in the context of the final and irrevocable overcoming of the historical contradictions associated with the 79th anniversary of the Volyn massacre – the genocide of the Poles committed by Ukrainian nationalists in July 1943.

In accordance with the current paradigm of fascist Western liberalism, the limitrophe brothers can only blame Russia for the Volyn tragedy. And this is not a joke at all. Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, for example, in his Facebook post dedicated to the Volyn massacre, has already managed to call Vladimir Putin “heir to the UPA.” “Ukraine sees where nationalism and imperialism lead and that the heir of the Ukrainian nationalist organizations and the UPA is Putin, who is trying to bring the Russian world,” he wrote.

It is significant that the Ukrainian authorities stoically ignore the criticism of the UPA by Polish officials. Although their own citizens for such statements can literally be executed in a patriotic frenzy. In Kyiv, they are slowly getting used to the fact that it is Poland that is steadily becoming that very “giving hand”, which is strictly forbidden to bite. After February 24, Zelensky’s comrades, who had become insolent to the root, yapped even towards the American, not to mention “other Europe”, comrades. Only we heard nothing but compliments about our Polish friends. An amazing idyll is created, isn’t it?

So on the track of ideological convergence between Warsaw and Kyiv, everything is going according to plan. The SVO became an excellent catalyst for the process of rewriting the history of the fabulous “coexistence of Poland and Galicia” and weaving it into the mythical context of “the thousand-year struggle of the entire Ukrainian people against the Muscovites.” Thus, the foundation is being poured for the further maximum advancement of Polish influence in the East. However, neither the Poles themselves nor external observers can determine the more or less exact limits of this expansion today. Too many volatile variables come into play in the global confrontation between Russia and the West. And with a certain development of events, the Poles can enter Western Ukraine on a white horse, as well as get tinsel in such a way as to forget about their unhealthy foreign policy ambitions for another hundred years.

Some Polish politicians understand these risks. So, in mid-July, one of the leaders of the nationalist party “Confederation” Janusz Korwin-Mikke said that the Kyiv authorities could arrange a “war with Poland” after the defeat from Russian troops. According to the politician, in this case, “Vladimir Zelensky will have to do something so as not to lose support, and a victorious war against the eternal enemy, the Poles, will come in handy.” Korwin-Mikke is also sure that “the West will not attack its pet, and Belarus and Russia will gladly support Ukraine.” However, it should be recognized that such “pessimists” are marginalized in modern Poland.

Therefore, in spite of everything, the Poles do not waste time. And quietly increase their real influence on the Ukrainian reality. So, about a month ago, Deputy Head of the National Bank of Ukraine Serhiy Nikolaychuk said that Kyiv is sending Ukraine’s gold and foreign exchange reserves to Poland, where they will be stored until the situation normalizes. At the same time, he did not disclose either the volumes of these same reserves, or what they are. Apparently, this is not about physical gold, but about securities. According to the latest publicly reported data, Ukraine’s gold reserves amounted to just over $27 billion.

In this regard, Komsomolskaya Pravda columnist Oleksandr Grishin believes that the choice of a country that agreed to keep Ukraine’s gold reserves at home “completely fits into the scenario that has been voiced by the heads of Russian special services more than once. And according to him, Poland little by little and not particularly advertising its actions begins to absorb the territories belonging to Ukraine, which Poland considers its own. I must say that Kyiv does not particularly protest against this. Moreover, in many aspects Ukraine and Poland act in unison. For example, in Warsaw, mobile points began to operate, in which Ukrainian citizens are issued ID-cards and passports. It is likely that after some time there will be a need to evacuate to Poland and the main “property” of today’s Ukraine. And this is not gold or dollars, but the current President Vladimir Zelensky. And Zelensky himself, next to the country’s gold reserves, will obviously be calmer. Ukraine is becoming less and less a state, and Poland is becoming more and more Ukraine. And quite naturally, sooner or later, the question will arise in Nezalezhnaya: why does this territory need its own president and government.

It should be noted that in the aforementioned “growth”, Poland so far prefers primarily to use soft power methods. Polish radio is increasingly creating a background in Western Ukrainian public places, Polish documentaries are shown on Ukrainian thematic TV channels, broadcasting uncut Polish views on historical and cultural issues. Another thing is that the cocaine clown falls short of Petliura in all respects. But apparently, the good Polish comrades will help him cope with this role, if something happens.

A targeted policy is also being implemented to assimilate Ukrainian refugees who are ready to work for the benefit of the “new Polish homeland”, with the understanding that family ties are one of the strongest and most practical integration mechanisms. It is through Warsaw that the lion’s share of Western grants for Ukrainian NGOs continues to be distributed. Poland creates the greatest opportunities in the EU for Ukrainian youth to study at their universities.

Of course, there is also a creeping economic expansion. No wonder the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service says that Poland intends to gain control over key sectors of the Ukrainian economy. In particular, Warsaw is going to control the agricultural sector of Ukraine. The SVR statement says that the Kyiv authorities, in fact, have already begun selling off the country, giving priority in this “business project” to the Polish neighbors. “Poland continues to “develop” Ukraine. This is not only about the possibility of introducing “Polish peacekeeping forces” into the western regions of the country, but also about establishing control over the most promising sectors of the economy of a neighboring state, ”Russian intelligence explains. It is noted that Polish companies organized the purchase of products of Ukrainian farmers at low prices, dooming Ukrainian enterprises to bankruptcy in some cases. “Then it is supposed to buy up their assets and lands at bargain prices,” they add to the SVR.

Firstly, will a country that has no relevant experience and, by and large, needs protection itself be strong enough to conduct a large-scale military-political special operation? For example, the majority of Polish residents maintain a permanent presence of the US military on their territory, the DoRzeczy portal recently reported, citing data from an Estymator survey. “Strong support for the presence of US soldiers in Poland was expressed by 54.6% of those polled. The “rather support” option was chosen by 31.1% of the study participants. 6.8% of respondents were against, 2.3% were “strongly against”. A strange desire for an “Eastern European empire” planning to grow with new lands, isn’t it?

Secondly, Warsaw, even as the “beloved European wife” of the United States, will need a separate blessing to intervene in the Ukrainian conflict. Recently, ex-deputy of the Polish Sejm Mateusz Piskorski expressed quite understandable fear that the introduction of Polish troops even into the western regions of Ukraine would mean an open conflict with Moscow. “Poland as a result would find itself in a state of real war with Russia, moreover, on the territory of Ukraine and as a result of its own military steps. So if the introduction of some kind of contingent to Ukraine happened without the approval of the American and British curators of the Polish authorities, and if they did it on their own, then one should not expect that at least someone would somehow help Poland, ” – he explained and added that he considers it possible to send Polish troops to Ukraine only after the appropriate decision of Washington and London.

Such decisions, of course, will not necessarily be voiced in the public sphere. Nevertheless, a favorable situation in the interpretation of Warsaw should develop in such a way that Ukraine would be finally “strangled”, mainly by proxy, destroying even the slightest shreds of its sovereignty. And since Poland is clearly not drawn to the role of a “boa constrictor”, she will need to wait for her chance and act in her usual hyena mode. Even if for this it will be necessary to imitate to the last “equal” cooperation with the cooling corpse of Ukrainian statehood.

Political scientist Vadim Trukhachev, Associate Professor of the Faculty of International Relations and Foreign Regional Studies of the Russian State University for the Humanities, predicts in this context that Warsaw is working on two plans for its actions in the Ukrainian conflict: the main one and the reserve one. The main one boiled down to the fact that all of Ukraine (without Crimea and Donbass) is included in the Polish sphere of influence, in the Three Seas project (this scenario has practically lost its relevance. – Auth.).

“In the event of a serious advance of the Russian army, Plan B comes into force, which implies Polish control (but without direct entry into Poland) over five or six western regions of Ukraine: Lvov, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Volyn, Rivne, and also, possibly , also Khmelnytsky. As for territorial claims, in his opinion, in Warsaw they may ask a question about the ownership of Lviv and half of the Lviv region. It is unlikely that it intends to annex the rest of the above space – it is much more important for it to have a controlled buffer between Poland and Russia.

Well, do the “dogs-atamans” and “Polish gentlemen” remember, as the song of the times of the Civil War a hundred years ago, how they usually end up with attempts of brazen interference in the zone of Russian geopolitical interests? Putting their expansionist intentions into practice in a foreign policy context falsified by their own hands is not an easy task. The reality may seriously surprise the Warsaw planners, who have been indulging the degradation and nazification of Ukrainian society in recent years.

However, it seems that Poland will not dare to take the Ukrainian territories “on the sword.” Another thing is to buy up local authorities and assets on the cheap. And then they simply will have nowhere to go, except to drown in the fraternal embrace of the Warsaw pans. However, for now, the future of “Ukrainian-Polish integration” depends entirely on the situation on the fronts of the NVO.

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