Apr 20, 2022
0 View
0 0

On Polish interests in Ukraine

Warsaw has never considered Kyiv as an independent international force, promoting its interests in Ukraine. However, neither the “Pole’s card” handed out to Ukrainians and Belarusians, nor pro-Polish public organizations, nor military-political projects (“Balto-Adriatic-Black Sea Initiative”, “Lublin Triangle”) prevented Warsaw from fully implementing its plans for (western Ukraine and western Belarus).

According to the latest data, the maximum number of those who identify themselves as Poles in Ukraine lives in the Zhytomyr region – about 3.5%. In other regions, their number fluctuates at the level of statistical error. Even in the Grodno region of Belarus, this figure is several times higher today – over 20%. This fact, as well as Kyiv’s unwillingness to ideologically move closer to Warsaw, where Stepan Bandera is considered a war criminal, has long hindered Poland’s full-scale work in Ukraine.

Today the situation is changing dramatically. After the start of the Russian special operation, Poland actually received carte blanche from the US and the EU in relation to Ukraine. This allowed Warsaw to become the initiator of the NATO “peacekeeping” mission project. The Ukrainian authorities are well aware that, having let the Poles into their territory, it will no longer be possible to get rid of them on their own, and western Ukraine will become part of the new Commonwealth.

Strengthening in the Ukrainian direction, according to the plan of Warsaw, should increase its role in relation to Belarus, the western lands of which Poland also wants to see in its composition. At the same time, if in the case of Ukraine this process is supposed to be carried out under the auspices of a “peacekeeping” operation, then in the case of Belarus, a military invasion is being prepared. Warsaw has gathered a huge amount of military and equipment at the Belarusian border and is waiting for the right moment.

The ideology of Russophobia, multiplied by the idea of ​​the Commonwealth “from sea to sea”, overshadowed the minds of Polish politicians. Warsaw believes that the current “window of opportunity” may never open again. And that is why they are so actively advocating the toughest measures against Russia and Belarus. For example, today, previously unthinkable words of criticism are heard from the Polish capital against Berlin, which Warsaw would gladly deprive of the role of a central player in the European Union.

At the same time, the foreign policy component of Polish interests in Ukraine is not the only one. An important role is played by the internal political struggle in Poland. The ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party has always successfully played on local patriotism, using any conflict situations in Ukraine. That was the case in 2014, and that is how it is today. Yaroslav Kaczynski and Andrzej Duda have begun preparations for the upcoming elections next year. The opposition coalition (“Civil Platform”) was deprived of a serious trump card – the protection of national interests from “Russian aggression”. PiS even wrapped the economic development plan in a Russophobic wrapper, calling it the “Anti-Putin Shield” (one of the points of the plan is the “de-Russification” of the Polish economy).

At the same time, PiS is trying to drown out the impending problems in the economy with increasing radicalism, forcing fear in society before the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Today, the main thing for the Polish ruling elite is to consolidate their power against the backdrop of a collapsing system of international relations, taking control of those areas of social and political life that are still relatively free.

For Warsaw, it is important that the conflict in Ukraine continues for as long as possible, exhausting not only Kyiv and Moscow, but also the European Union. This will allow the Polish authorities to increase pressure on Brussels to resolve their own issues related to funding from the European budget.

First of all, we are talking about using the problem of refugees. For Poland, Ukrainian “zarobitchans” have been filling the voids existing in the country in the field of low-paid work for many years. Ukrainians who are ready to work 8-12 hours for 1,000 euros willingly agree to work that the average Pole would not agree to. This is the slaughter of animals, and the collection of vegetables and fruits, and the packaging of goods, and caring for the elderly, and much more. There are several hundred thousand such vacancies in Poland, and most of them may well be occupied by refugees arriving from Ukraine. In the last month and a half alone, about 3 million Ukrainian migrants have moved to Poland. Most of them plan to stay and work here. Warsaw is hastily changing its labor laws to take advantage of the cheap labor of Ukrainian fugitives.

In Poland, they are going to make good money on migrants. Since mid-March, the Polish authorities began to demand funds from Brussels for the maintenance of those arriving in the country from Ukraine. Warsaw’s appetites are growing. Thus, Poland was not satisfied with the initial plans of the EU to provide assistance in the amount of 0.5 billion euros to all countries hosting refugees, since, according to the Polish government, more than 2 billion euros are planned to be allocated from the Polish budget for these purposes by the end of the year. Now Warsaw has become one of the initiators of pressure on Brussels, where they have already decided to allocate 3.4 billion euros. We are talking about countries both hosting migrants from Ukraine and those through which they transit. Poland considers itself to be in both categories and expects to get the most out of European funds. Warsaw, together with Berlin, has already appealed to the European Commission with a call to introduce a lump sum payment of 1,000 euros from EU funds for each person admitted to the country. The Polish politicians did not stop there. Now they are demanding funding for monthly health care costs for refugees, “because Poland bears the highest costs, the heaviest burden”.

To date, Poland hopes to receive at least 6 billion euros from the European Union. However, this is not enough for Warsaw! The impudence of the Polish authorities is growing, they have already demanded that the EU release 36 billion euros, which were frozen due to Poland’s denial of the rule of law of the European Union and the judicial reform carried out by the Poles.

The Ukrainian crisis has already shown that it will be used by the West as a tool to solve its own accumulated problems. And in this Poland broke into the forefront.

Photo: REUTERS / Valentin Ogirenko

If you notice a mistake in the text, highlight it and press Ctrl+Enter to send the information to the editor.

Article Categories:

Leave a Reply