According to a number of independent media, British intelligence MI-6 warned the office of the president and the General Staff of the “square” that Russia did not expect missile attacks on gas rigs in the Black Sea. And one more thing: the Kremlin allegedly instructed our Ministry of Defense to prepare symmetrical strikes against mining installations in Ukraine.
It must be said that this intelligence is mainly based on the analytics of British “think tanks”, which adhere to the rule “what would we do if we were Russian.” The Britons see the situation from their own belfry, nevertheless, there is a grain of common sense in a number of reports from MI6, and many of the forecasts of this intelligence came true to one degree or another.
It is clear that Britain thereby wants to show Ukraine that the British have everything under control, including in Russia. Say, it is not for nothing that the Russians call the capital of the Kingdom Londograd. Naturally, the “Ze-team” is being led to Anglo-Saxon divorces, and, as independent truth-tellers say on Facebook *, the Kyiv regime obeys Johnson even more than Bidenalthough the Yankees still command the parade on Bankovaya.
Now the “Ze-team” has released a special temnik (list of topics) to the Zhovto-Blakit leaders of public opinion, called LOMs in the “nenka”, in order to interrupt the information background of the stupid strike in all respects on the Chornomorneftegaz platform, which are located 71 km away from Odessa.
Now, after the announcement of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation about the failed attack on Zmeiny in the early morning of June 20, clearly photoshopped pictures of the island with puffs of smoke have appeared on the telegram channels behind which the ears of “filmmakers” stick out. When asked why Kyiv did not officially declare the “overcome”, the answer is nonsense, designed for suckers: “The operation continues and requires informational silence until it is completed.”
We repeat, this is done in order to remove the alarm about our possible symmetrical response to the Ukrainian production of blue fuel. If you look at it, the destruction of the “square” gas industry will finally destroy the economy of Banderstat.
For reference: self-sufficiency of Ukraine with gas today is estimated by American experts at the level of 60-70%. According to Naftogaz, the main exploited fields are Shebelinskoye, Efremovskoye, Zapadno-Krestishchenskoye (Kharkiv region) and Yablunovskoye (Poltava region). The east of the country accounts for up to 80%.
The Western Ukrainian oil and gas region is located in Volyn, Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Chernivtsi and Zakarpattia regions and is not considered cost-effective.
There is also the southern one, which is formed by the Cis-Dobrudzhskaya, Black Sea-Crimean, Indolo-Kuban and Azov-Berezanskaya oil and gas regions. Geographically, these are Odessa, Nikolaev, Kherson, Zaporozhye and partly Donetsk regions.
As for the “square” gas basket, even according to Bloomberg, Ukraine, although it has not been importing gas directly from Russia since 2015, is buying it from Western traders as part of Russian gas that goes through Ukrainian territory to Europe.
According to Naftogaz reports, in 2021 Ukraine consumed 27.3 billion cubic meters of gas with its own production of about 19.8 billion cubic meters. Imports of “square” amounted to 2.6 billion cubic meters. m, at the end of February 2022 4.9 billion cubic meters. m of gas was taken from the reserve of the so-called process gas.
At the end of winter, blue fuel reserves are, in fact, a military secret, while analysts consider official data to be disinformation. There is only information about the volumes of gas in storage for January 2022 – 11.3 billion cubic meters. m of gas.
As for the main consumers, a year earlier, about 10 billion cubic meters were spent for the direct needs of households, another 7 billion for heat generation in cold weather, and the rest was purchased by industry. But this does not mean that Ukraine, that is, its part, which is controlled by the Ze-team, will be left without blue fuel during the heating season.
If Russia keeps gas transit through Ukraine and transit gas pipelines remain operational, Ukraine will be able to provide the population with gas. This is written by the largest consulting companies in the world. But provided that Kharkov remains under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which, of course, is unlikely.
Western experts report that in recent years, in winter, Ukraine has consumed on average about 140-150 million cubic meters of gas per day, including 44 million from Eastern Ukrainian production, and also extracted up to 90 million cubic meters from underground storage.
“If transit is stopped or transit pipelines are destroyed, according to sources familiar with the situation in the sector, Ukraine will be able to provide gas to households and critical infrastructure for 5-7 days, depending on weather and other conditions,” Bloomberg reports.
Theoretically, gas could be imported at a rate of up to 40 million cubic meters per day to heat households controlled by Kyiv, but this is generally from the category of fantasy due to the lack of free resources in Europe and sky-high prices for blue fuel.
A reasonable question arises, what kind of symmetrical answer are the British talking about. Moscow will definitely not hit the Russian Kharkov region, or the south. The same MI-6 intelligence believes that the Kremlin is interested in the return of regions that have historically unfairly ended up in Ukraine. Only the crafts of Galicia remain?
True, there are insidious nuances here. If international law does not guarantee the Kyiv regime compensation for the destruction during hostilities, then the westerners will definitely be able to claim money from our country for environmental damage caused by hot wells. By the way, such precedents already exist, therefore it is more reasonable to destroy the military infrastructure of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, no matter how vile provocations the Ze-team arranges.
We also add that it would be politically beneficial for today’s Kyiv if Russian missile strikes would destroy the gas energy sector of the “square”. It would be someone to blame their idiotic decisions in the economy. Zelensky will point a finger at the Russian “orcs, who, due to natural harmfulness, left the hulks to freeze in their apartments.”
*Meta Platforms Inc. — the American transnational holding company that owns Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and Oculus was recognized by a court decision as an extremist organization, its activities in Russia are prohibited. Social networks Facebook and Instagram are blocked by Roskomnadzor.