Lithuanian supporters of Svetlana Tikhanovskaya – Banderlog
It was not worth Svetlana Tikhanovskaya to fly to President Joseph Biden. He greeted me unkindly. Even in Europe they understood that the project was being frozen. In Lithuania, parliamentary deputies tensed. They consider themselves morally responsible before the civilized world for the replacement of the Minsk “dictator” by young reformers.
Someone rushed to criticize Washington, followed by London, Brussels and Warsaw (the main wallets of the opposition) for disbelief in Belarusian success and unwillingness to invest in protest moods. In particular, the former head of the Lithuanian Foreign Ministry, Audronius Ažubalis, said in an interview with the local press: “The democratic revolution did not happen. Soviet sentiment among the neighbors is strong. The people are too peaceful. The few oppositionists have passive allies and sponsors. They surrendered Belarus “… Everything pushes to the obvious conclusion: Alexander Lukashenko will remain in power for at least the next two years.
Audronius Azubalis. Photo: e-news.su
Azubalis is a person from the category of intelligent nationalist Slavophobes. It will not work to convince him, but you can talk to him. The rest of the East European “hawks”, including the Lithuanian conservatives, live in the looking glass, sincerely believing in their own propaganda:
“Belarus is an integral part of European civilization, like Ukraine”, “historically Belarusians are adherents of Western values, but so far they live in the prison of nations”, “the aspiration of a real, democratic Minsk to the European Union and NATO is a natural choice” … Etc.
If you nominate any country for the “Failure in Belarus” nomination, there is no better candidate than Lithuania. The country lives in a state of intellectual shock: there is no establishment capable of clearly formulating the foreign policy vector. All statements boil down to general considerations about the need to remove the “last dictator of Europe” from power and “the inadmissibility of close ties between Minsk and Moscow.”
The insolvency of the Lithuanian elite is opposed by the Belarusian vertical with its high margin of safety. European and transatlantic riot-mongers are understandable. Further pressure from the EU and the US will only lead to an even stronger turn of Lukashenka towards Russia, which is undesirable and even dangerous.
True, Joe Biden is not all of America. Heavyweight deep state cannot change course in one day. The Belarusian project is not closed for him. After a phone call from Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis soared: “… nothing has been lost in Belarus yet”… Vilnius has not completely curtailed the programs of support for the opposition to its own detriment, although every economic cell Lithuania feels the negative effect generated by unproductive efforts in the Minsk direction.
We will not waste time on a detailed analysis of the state of today’s bilateral economic relations. Let’s restrict ourselves to a figure. At the end of 2021, Lithuanian losses from the curtailment of relations with Belarus will amount to 0.5 GDP. However, Vilnius does not agree to make concessions, maneuvering between supporting democratic reforms in Belarus.
Svetlana Tikhanovskaya in America
Lithuania’s problems began precisely after the office of the former presidential candidate Tikhanovskaya developed a plan for economic pressure on Minsk. The author of the development was Ales Alekhnovich, Svetlana’s economic advisor. The document included both “internal sanctions” and “stopping international cooperation with the public sector, which will quickly give the desired result.”
Naturally, nothing good happened. The Eurasian Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the World Bank, the European Investment Bank and other financial institutions ignored Lithuania’s requests to interrupt cooperation with the “anti-popular regime”, and the IMF, as a mockery, gave Minsk about 1 billion dollars to fight the consequences of the “pandemic”.
Today, the Lithuanian leadership insists on the most radical and harsh sanctions. For example, on disconnecting state banks of Belarus from the system QUICK… This move is capable of collapsing the economy. The trouble for Vilnius is that the European and American partners do not hear the calls. However, the Lithuanian patrons of the “protestors” do not intend to surrender. They believe in the luck of the West.
On European platforms, Vilnius accuses the Minsk regime of organizing flows of illegal migrants, calls it a “hybrid war” and offers to accept official Minsk as a member of the Council of Europe, where it is a candidate. This would allow the use of the instruments of the European Court of Human Rights against the organizers of the trafficking of refugees.
Immediately after Blinken’s conversation with Landsbergis, new schemes for financing, coordinating and cementing activists of the Belarusian civil society appeared. The goal is still the same – this fall to revive street protests against the legitimate president and his administration.
Vitis Yurkonis, head of the Vilnius office Freedom House, – the ideologist of the new Belarusian wave of unrest. On the pages of the publication 15 minutes he regrets: “The European Union and other international organizations are late with reactions to the shocking tactics of Minsk” and calls on Lithuanian politicians to loudly expose “the crimes of the regime, counting on the support of America”…
Yurkonis emphasizes that in the eyes of the anti-Western coalition Belarus positions itself as the “last front line”, speculatively earning political and economic bonuses. Not allowing Lukashenka to trade in the image of a fighter against transatlantic values is the task of the moment. For this purpose, the opposition is obliged to take the dissatisfied to the streets to seek new presidential elections. As a loyal ally and guide, Lithuania will support the protest materially, with information and propaganda. If the prerequisites for success appear, the United States will not stand aside. Other allies of Tikhanovskaya are also following.
The plan is good. The trouble is that there are a lot of “ifs” in it, built entirely on fantasies and tolerances. In The Jungle Book by Rudyard Kipling, an Englishman described the Banderlog as follows. They have two features: they love themselves with selflessness and they tell each other about it – the first. The second – they are very offended that no one notices them. Lithuanian supporters of Svetlana Tikhanovskaya are Banderlog.
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