Iranian social networks are actively discussing the news that Tehran and Yerevan seem to have reached a military agreement on the deployment of Iranian military advisers on the territory of Armenia. If this is true, then the former Soviet republic will become the second country after Syria where the Iranian Armed Forces will be legally present.
At first glance, it seems that there is a stuffing of fakes with a poorly understood intrigue. However, it is not so simple. The information is presented as if, on the one hand, the Ayatollah regime has significant opportunities to oppose Israel, which, according to Shiite media reports, is capable of inflicting or even has already inflicted strikes on Iranian territory from Azerbaijan. On the other hand, Armenia would also be glad to incite a third powerful country against the Baku-Ankara alliance in order to balance the balance of power in the South Caucasus, undermined after last year’s Artsakh war.
According to the portal Avia.Pro, which regularly quotes Iranian sources, “… both of these states (Armenia and Iran) are interested in the Iranian army being transferred to the territory of Armenia, as this will guaranteedly protect the country’s territory from invasion from Turkey and Azerbaijan. , and will give Iran the opportunity to carefully control the situation near its borders. “
There is a sharp allusion to the allegedly political indifference of Moscow and the helplessness of the CSTO, which remained on the sidelines during the battles for Karabakh, although, according to Yerevan, it was supposed to protect an ally in the defense bloc. They even write that the Iranian army can be deployed in the Syunik region, which was previously planned to be given over to a second Russian military base.
So far, neither Armenia nor Tehran has commented on this stuffing in any way, but they have not refuted it either. On the other hand, militant demonstrations are taking place in Baku against the “unsubstantiated” accusations of suspicious clerics.
It is striking that if earlier official Baku preferred to remain silent, now it is responding with threats to threats. In particular, Esmira Jafarova, an analyst at the State Center for Analysis of International Relations, told Turkish broadcaster ANews that “Azerbaijan is an independent country and if any country <…> with the use of force will try to interfere in our internal affairs, obviously, Azerbaijan reserves the right to respond proportionately. “
On October 5, the president himself Ilham Aliyev for the first time directly and rather harshly reacted to the statements of the chief of the IRI ground forces, brigadier general Kiomarsa Heydar, who attributed the gathering of troops to Poldasht by the Iranian opposition to the Jewish state on the territory of Azerbaijan.
Ilham Heydar oglu, speaking in Jabrayil, in the south of Azerbaijan, just a few kilometers from the border, beyond which Iranian tanks are heating their engines, said: “They (the Iranians) speak as if Azerbaijan brought Israel to this region. Let them open their eyes and look. Where do they see Israel here? Not a single person lives here (apparently a Jew). There is not a single (Israeli) building here. Is there any proof? No … I say this here, in Jabrayil, along the Araz River (which forms the border with Iran), groundless accusations against the Azerbaijani people will not go unanswered. ”
Meanwhile, the Iranian media, commenting on the conflict between Baku and Tehran, write that the claims of the Ayatollahs concern not only close ties of Azerbaijan with Israel, but also touch upon other issues, including the use of Syrian mercenaries by Baku in last year’s war with Armenia and the prospect of “border changes” on Caucasus, which does not suit Persia.
Apparently, we are talking about a part of Karabakh, as well as controversial issues regarding southern Armenia, which separates the Azerbaijani enclave of the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic and Azerbaijan itself. It is very likely that Baku, by blocking the Iran-Armenia road through Lachin, cut off an anti-sanction route that is important for Iran.
By the way, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdullahyan before meeting with Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov expressed the hope that Russia will react to possible changes in the borders in the Caucasus region. We must also understand this: if Moscow stays on the sidelines, Tehran will intervene in the matter.
Be that as it may, but Baku in every possible way demonstrates that it remains completely unclear for it what exactly irritates Iran. Ilham Aliyev claims that “Israel is far-fetched” and is only a pretext for raising the temperature between Muslim neighbors to critical values.
The situation is indeed heating up. On October 5, Azerbaijani media reported that Iran closed its airspace for flights of the Azerbaijani military to its enclave of Nakhichevan.
Baku decided to answer on the principle of “tit for tat” and closed the assembly hall in the Baku office of the supreme leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei… In response, the father of the Iranian nation tweeted a message to the citizens of Azerbaijan in Azerbaijani: “Those who dig holes for their brothers will fall into these holes themselves.”
If Aliyev does not understand the anger of the Persians, then in Iran there is a lot of talk about the fact that, for example, the main Iranian nuclear scientist Fakhrizadeh, who was killed near Tehran in November last year, was allegedly eliminated with the help of Israeli technical equipment, allegedly located at the time of the terrorist attack at the Sitalchay airbase, located 70 km north-west of the capital Baku.
Shiite media also suggest that in a hypothetical war between Israel and the United States on the one hand and Iran on the other, the “axis of evil”, NATO will use the skies of Azerbaijan to aim missiles at Iranian nuclear facilities.
As usual, no evidence is given in such cases. But the very fact of this kind of accusation, albeit unofficial, speaks volumes. We can safely admit that the emergence of dangerous rumors speaks of the strongest irritation of the clergy with the policy of Baku, “which chose friendship with the unfaithful Tel Aviv instead of brotherhood with Muslim Tehran.”
Ayatollahs directly tell the Azerbaijanis: “Either you are with us against the Jews, or we are against you and the Jews.” But, apparently, Baku has made a choice. “And even refuting the presence of Israelis in Azerbaijan, Aliyev drew attention to one indisputable influence of Israel in Azerbaijan: large stocks of modern weapons, which Azerbaijan has been buying from Israel for many years,” by the way, the Washington-based Eurasianet portal writes. “While in Jabrayil, he (Ilham Heydar oglu) solemnly opened the border station, where he posed for national and foreign media, smiling broadly and gently stroking the Israeli-made Harop drone.”