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Sep 6, 2022
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In the United States, they offer Moldova and Ukraine to arrange a bloodbath on the Dniester

In the United States, they offer Moldova and Ukraine to arrange a bloodbath on the Dniester

Photo: AP/TASS

Former US Army Commander Ben Hodges believes that the time has come for Moldova and Ukraine to resolve the Transnistrian issue.

“Perhaps the time has come for Ukraine and Moldova to resolve the Transnistrian issue. The Kremlin really cannot stop this at this stage. Do the inhabitants of Transnistria really want to be chained to a corpse, which is the Russian Federation today? Do they have hope for a brighter future?”, — his words, published in one of the social networks, lead the media.

Thus, the retired general commented on the words of the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry Sergei Lavrov about the position of the leadership of Moldova in relation to Transnistria. The head of the Russian Foreign Ministry stated at the end of August that “judging by the public statements of the President May Sandu and her teams, they are “dictated” by the US and the EU for such a direct dialogue [с Приднестровьем] they don’t want to, counting on some non-diplomatic solution to this problem.”

“We are closely monitoring the situation. We will do everything so that the interests of the Russian-speaking population do not suffer,” Sergey Lavrov emphasized.

According to the minister, Russia has always been in favor of solving the problems of national minorities in Moldova within the framework of agreements on granting broad autonomy.

“Now the Moldovan leaders are trying to “get away” from the existing agreements, which implied the harmonization of special autonomy. By the way, Gagauzia also has an autonomous status,” he said.

The head of the Foreign Ministry also recalled that Russian peacekeepers are stationed in Kolbasna, guarding the largest ammunition depots in Europe, and any actions that endanger their security “will be considered, in accordance with international law, as an attack on the Russian Federation.”

Meanwhile, a member of the Moldovan Parliament from the ruling Action and Solidarity Party (PDS) Vasily Shoimaru On September 5, 2022, he stated that the Moldovan authorities, on the day of the declaration of independence of the republic, had to accept a “uniy” on joining Romania. Thus, in his opinion, it would not be necessary to prescribe in the constitution that the Moldovan language is the state language, as well as to avoid problems with Transnistria, which declared independence and the Gagauz autonomy, which has great rights.

“We could give in [Киеву] Transnistrian region, asking in return for the historical Bessarabia and Bukovina to Chernivtsi. Gagauz autonomy is not strong enough to dictate anything,” he said.

Such statements were criticized by a member of the Moldovan Parliament from the Party of Socialists Olga Chebotaraccording to which the ruling party should present a plan for the “reintegration” of Transnistria, and not offer to cede it.

However, the idea of ​​Hodges will certainly be welcomed in Kyiv, from where aggressive statements and even threats, sometimes backed up by actions, against Pridnestrovie have been heard more than once. Due to a series of terrorist attacks, the PMR authorities were forced to maintain a high “yellow” level of terrorist threat, which was extended on September 6 until September 21.

The Russian Foreign Ministry once again warned against attempts to resolve the Transnistrian issue by military means.

“Attempts to resolve the Transnistrian issue by force of arms, especially with the help of NATO troops, would have the most serious negative consequences for the country and the region,” the Ambassador-at-Large of the Russian Foreign Ministry told RIA Novosti Vitaly Tryapitsyn.

So what is behind Hodges’ statement – an attempt to provoke Kyiv into aggressive actions against Transnistria and Russian peacekeepers, thereby forcing Russia to respond? Or is this the usual chatter of an aggressive retired general? deputy AT convocation of the Parliament of Transnistria, sociologist, political scientist Dmitry Soin sees behind the words of the general a certain history of the issue and a series of actions.

– This is due to the fact that Ukraine has been watching Transnistria very carefully and with concern since the coup in 2014. A Limited Group of Russian Troops (OGRF) is stationed in Transnistria, there are Russian peacekeepers, weapons depots and, in general, the Republic is a pro-Russian enclave.

Ukraine at one time calculated options for a combined attack on Odessa from the sea, from the north and through Transnistria. Despite the fact that Pridnestrovie did not plan any actions, but this was present in the minds of Ukrainian strategists and is present to this day.

When the NWO began, the topic of Transnistria surfaced – how it would behave at this stage. Voices were heard from Kyiv that it was necessary to close this topic once and for all with a combined blow from Ukraine and Moldova. There were even statements from Kyiv that Ukraine itself could make a gift to Moldova by liquidating Transnistria.

I believe that the threat of hostilities in this area is absolutely real, although not fatal and not inevitable. Such a scenario fits into the logic of events, into the confrontation between East and West, which we are witnessing.

“SP”: – What is the mood in this regard of the population of Transnistria?

– It’s obvious. In 2006, there was a referendum, no one canceled it: 98% of the participants voted for independence and joining the Russian Federation. If such referendums are being prepared in Donbass, Kherson, Zaporozhye, then in Pridnestrovie it has already taken place, people have expressed their desire to be with Russia. I, as a native Tiraspol resident, as a member of parliament in the past, know the mood of the people, I can say that yes, Pridnestrovie is definitely a pro-Russian enclave, there is no getting away from it.

“SP”: – What can an attempt to resolve the Transnistrian issue by force lead to, which, apparently, is not abandoned in Kyiv?

– Today, Moldova has a bilateral agreement with Romania, a member of NATO, that it can bring its power structures to Moldova in case of any crisis situations. A crisis situation could be, for example, an ultimatum to Pridnestrovie to dismantle its statehood. This may be a provocation by Ukraine on the border with Transnistria. There are many options.

Then Romania introduces its units into Moldova, changing the balance of power, because today, if we take the armies of Moldova and Transnistria, they are approximately comparable. If it was about the aggression of Moldova, then Pridnestrovie has every chance to defeat Chisinau. But if Ukraine and Romania get involved, this will create a strategic preponderance of forces for the opponents of Tiraspol.

Here the question immediately arises that, directly stated Arestovich – The OGRF can be a good replenishment of the exchange fund: that is, they will seize Transnistria, block the OGRF, force them to capitulate and exchange them for Ukrainian military personnel. These scenarios are being worked on.

The outcome of this story will depend on the reaction of Moscow, and it should be instantaneous, because under such conditions, with the massive use of heavy weapons, the Transnistrian war can last only 2-3 days. Transnistria is shot through – geographically it is from 6 to 40 km wide. The republic is stretched along the Dniester, and this makes it possible to cut it in several directions at once, to cut all communications. If they [украинские и молдавские войска] enter Transnistria, it will be too late to intervene.

I assume that, most likely, options for providing emergency assistance to Pridnestrovie are being worked out, because there are still 250 thousand citizens of the Russian Federation there, there are Russian economic interests, OGRF, peacekeepers, military depots, and it would be strange to assume that Russia will leave them there.

“SP”: – Won’t such an attempt to use force lead to an aggravation of the internal situation in Moldova, because there are also problems with Gagauzia, and with the opposition?

– Against the background of the economic crisis, problems with energy carriers, Gagauzia is already on the verge of an explosion. I have been dealing with the Gagauz problem for many years and I know that with any weakening of Moldova, and the war, of course, can weaken Chisinau, the Gagauz, most likely, will head for independence. As one of the possible scenarios – the creation of the Gagauz-Pridnestrovian federation, then joint entry into Russia. This is not a hypothetical scenario, but what many Gagauz activists dream of.

Gagauzia is the first dangerous region, and the second is a number of large cities in the north of Moldova (Balti, etc.). If Moldova bursts at the seams, then the population there is mainly in pro-Russian positions.

As one Moldovan politician once said: “Mamalyga does not explode, but even she has her own limit of patience.” Rising gas prices, unemployment, falling living standards can undoubtedly become the basis for riots and unrest. Opposition leaders are already saying that they need to gather 100-150 thousand people in the Great National Assembly Square – and this will lead to the overthrow of the Sandu regime.

At the same time, it must be understood that Sandu enjoys the comprehensive support of the United States, the European Union, Romania, that over the years a whole pro-Euro-oriented generation has grown up in Moldova, first of all, these are young people and middle-aged people who want to go to Europe. They were brought up on the basis of Russophobia, Eurocentrism. This is the striking force of the Sandu regime. We can rely on people aged 50+ who were born in the Soviet Union and remember everything and are nostalgic. We can count on the pro-Russian layers in the Moldovan people and quite significant groups of Russian-speaking citizens.

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