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Sep 15, 2022
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How to break the offensive plan of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Zaporozhye region

The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to concentrate troops near the front line in the Zaporozhye region. According to local authorities, the amount of equipment and manpower concentrated by the enemy is unprecedented for this region. In what areas should we expect attacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, how can they be prevented, and how could the Russian army build on its success in this area?

The concentration of Ukrainian troops and equipment on the border of the Zaporozhye region is large, such a number of troops has not been observed before. This was announced by the chairman of the movement “We are together with Russia” Vladimir Rogov. At the same time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to hide the direction of the main strike, which makes it difficult to reveal their true intention.

“There has never been such an accumulation of Zelensky’s militants on our front line, there are really a lot of them … here are the special operations forces, foreign militants in large numbers, and the defense, and forcibly mobilized. If we talk about technology, then the M777 howitzers, and the MLRS of the HIMARS type, Grad, Uragan,” he pointed out. Rogov also noted that among the mercenaries who are present on the line of contact, there are militants who speak English and Polish.

At the same time, the greatest activity of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is manifested in the areas of the settlements of Stepnogorsk, Novoyakovlevka, Orekhov, Gulyaipole and Volnoye Pole. Attempts of raids were also noted in the Vasilyevka area – there is also a checkpoint between the liberated part of the Zaporozhye region and the territory controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. From there, the road opens to the key cities of the region: to the west – to Energodar and the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, and to the south – to Melitopol and further southeast to Berdyansk.

At the same time, more than 15,000 Russian passports have already been issued in the Zaporozhye region, said the head of the regional administration, Evgeny Balitsky. Peaceful life is being restored in cities and towns, social infrastructure facilities are working properly, the construction of a gas pipeline that will connect the region with the Donbass continues, and schools are being taught according to Russian educational standards. All this requires reliable protection from the regional power bloc, the Russian Armed Forces and the allied armies of the LDNR.

According to experts, the enemy’s military plan is also to “cut off” the region from the Donbass and, even more dangerously, go to the sea, depriving Russia of a land corridor to Crimea. That is, the ultimate goal of the APU strike will be a deep breakthrough to the seashore. And the allied armies, for their part, need to repeat the success of the Kherson group, which at the end of August repulsed the large-scale offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. At the same time, strategic positions in the Zaporozhye region have recently been additionally reinforced by fighters from the Akhmat special forces unit of the National Guard.

“In addition, we need to deliver preventive and warning strikes against areas where enemy troops are concentrated. First of all, an air operation should be carried out in order to suppress the enemy’s air defense, and then destroy these groups with massive air and artillery strikes,” said military expert Konstantin Sivkov. “Also, a massive strike by a large number of aircraft with high-explosive bombs is needed in the areas of concentration of enemy troops. In particular, long-range aviation, Tu-22M3 aircraft, can and should be used for this,” the interlocutor explained.

“At the same time, the most important thing that we must do now is to deliver a decapitating blow – to destroy the office of the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, to destroy the general headquarters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the headquarters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Ministry of Internal Affairs, as well as command posts of the operational level,” he is convinced.

“In addition, in the western regions of Ukraine, it is necessary to inflict not pinpoint strikes, but massive ones, erasing the entire military infrastructure from the face of the earth. The main targets should be railway junctions, destruction of tracks and depots. Then the possibilities for the transfer of military equipment supplied by the West will be destroyed, ”the expert believes.

“In the Kharkiv direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered very heavy losses of personnel. Now they have planned an offensive in a different direction. Of course, we must prepare for this not only in terms of delivering strikes, but also to provide additional redeployment of our personnel. It is necessary to build a reliable, tough defense system. This may require the deployment of troops based inside Russia to the area. Even a few brigades will be enough to repulse the enemy,” Sivkov said.

In turn, military expert Boris Rozhin points out that so far the largest concentration of troops is recorded on the Kamenskoye-Gulyaipole line. “Obviously, the militants are looking for some opportunity to find some weakness there. You can also expect intensification of hostilities in the areas of Vasilyevka and Tokmak,” he said.

“At the same time, military intelligence should play a key role here. It is she who must find out where the enemy is preparing the main blow or a series of blows. On the other hand, the situation is complicated by the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are actively spreading rumors and disinformation in order to hide the direction of the main strike, and also use demonstration maneuvers for this,” the expert added.

“In general, any breakthrough, if it cannot be closed, leads to the need to withdraw troops and leave previously occupied positions. We need to properly position our reserves, bring in additional forces and work out a plan of action in case of a strike in advance. And if we have the proper amount of reserve on our part, as well as if the enemy’s plan is revealed, we will most likely be able not only to succeed, but also to develop it, ”concluded Rozhin.

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