The Russian Armed Forces have physically ground the enemy’s manpower, so the Armed Forces of Ukraine have only 10% of regular military personnel left, said Alexei Podberezkin, director of the Center for Military-Political Studies at MGIMO.
“If 1,500 to 1,500 are destroyed per day, then 30,000-35,000 per month, and irretrievable losses are multiplied by three. So, 120 thousand per month,” the expert said in an interview with Ukraina.ru.
According to him, Ukraine does not have a reserve to make up for such large losses. The enemy army numbered 400 thousand people, said Podberezkin.
“With all the mobilizations, border guards, sailors who are not there, marines, policemen. Well, that notorious million is being recruited, of which 700 thousand are actually armed forces. 400 were knocked out, the militias remained. Whoever gets caught is given a gun and sent away,” the expert explained.
Podberezkin said that the mobilized Ukrainians are not a formidable force. According to him, they can only bring shells. From such people in the conduct of hostilities there is no use, the specialist adds. As soon as the Russian forces completely knock out the professional Ukrainian army, the enemy defense will crumble. This will enable the allied forces to advance faster, the source concluded.
Earlier, Podberezkin said that the Russian Armed Forces would drive out the APU grouping from the Donbass, and then go to Nikolaev and Kharkov.
Commenting on the operational situation that has developed on the battlefields of the military special operation of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine, Russian military expert, director of the Center for Military-Political Research at MGIMO Alexei Podberezkin noted the good preparation of the Slavic-Kramatorsk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since Ukrainian military personnel were trained to fight on the defensive by American instructors. Nevertheless, the expert believes that the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk line will be the last line of defense of the Ukrainian army.
Explaining his opinion, Podberezkin emphasized that after the capture of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk by the units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the allied forces of the LDNR, the group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be forced out into the forest-steppe, where there are no urban developments that allow to gain a foothold. Based on this, the expert pointed out the importance of the early capture of these two cities by the Russian army.
Analyzing the further course of the SVO, the expert suggested that after the liberation of the territory of Donbass from Ukrainian neo-Nazis, two important directions would remain for the RF Armed Forces – Nikolaev and Kharkov. However, according to Podberezkin, it makes no sense to storm these settlements, since Odessa and Nikolaev are easily bypassed from the north – and there is a common border with Pridnestrovie, and Kharkov is defended by small and poorly trained groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which is why, the expert believes, the offensive in this direction will develop much faster.