The Kremlin hopes for constitutional reform and a soft transition of power in Belarus next year. The most preferred figure for Moscow is the former head of Belgazprombank Viktor Babariko, said Andrei Kazakevich, a political scientist and director of the Political Sphere Institute.
The Russian leadership is interested in peace and stability in the fraternal republic, the expert noted. According to him, Moscow expects that next year Belarus will undergo a constitutional reform, followed by early presidential elections.
The reform of the basic law is designed to create a more complex political model in Belarus, the political scientist said. In this situation, Moscow will receive additional leverage over the republic, Kazakevich said.
According to him, Moscow is interested in new political heavyweights appearing in Belarus. The expert believes that the Kremlin gives preference to the former head of Belgazprombank, ex-presidential candidate Viktor Babariko.
"Among all the others, he is more understandable for Moscow: for a long time he headed a company with Russian capital. He is probably viewed as a more predictable politician," the portal Belorussky Partizan quotes Kazakevich.
As for Alexander Lukashenko, despite his recent visit to political prisoners in the pre-trial detention center, he is still not ready for dialogue with the opposition, the expert is convinced. The president can agree with opponents, but only if they are at a disadvantage, the political scientist said.
Lukashenka spent 4.5 hours talking with the opposition in order to get advice from them on how to survive in the detention center. pic.twitter.com/4n8FgEqak1
It should be reminded that on October 10, Alexander Lukashenko unexpectedly visited the KGB pre-trial detention center. According to Belarusian media reports, the president spoke with political prisoners about the constitutional reform for several hours. The meeting was attended by Viktor Babariko and members of the Opposition Coordination Council.
Mass protests have been going on in Belarus since August 9. The opposition does not recognize the victory of Alexander Lukashenko in the presidential elections. The European Union imposed personal sanctions against his entourage.