The European Parliament introduced in its resolution a proposal to disconnect Russia from the system of international payments SWIFT, as well as abandon Russian oil and gas, including stopping the construction of the Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline.
It is reported that such measures are proposed to be taken in the event that Moscow “continues its aggression in Ukraine.” Russia is also being called upon to end the “unjustified military build-up to threaten its neighbors.”
It is worth recalling that the EP resolutions are purely advisory in nature. However, given the rapidly degrading relations between Russia and an increasing number of EU countries, it can be expected that the EP may eventually come to the realization of threats …
– The weather in the European Parliament is made not by large countries that subsidize the EU, but by parasitic countries that have more from the EU than they give it, – I am sure Director of the EAEU Institute Vladimir Lepekhin… – These countries (primarily Eastern Europe) need a pretext to continue to receive loans and other preferences from the EU, and the best pretext is the “Russian threat”.
In the same way, numerous other pan-European parasitic structures such as the EU, the OSCE, the International Court of Justice in The Hague, etc., motivate their own existence and abundant funding. In the event that the mythical “Russian threat” suddenly disappears, the need to finance all these parasitic add-ons will disappear.
“SP”: – In what cases can this still happen?
– Parasites are ready to give up anything, but not from their salaries. And the issue of high salaries of European bureaucrats may soon become relevant if, for example, Germany loses Russian gas and products manufactured in Germany become significantly more expensive. It is possible that this main sponsor of the EU will be forced to look for articles to save money.
I think that large European countries (Germany, Italy, France, Spain), which will suffer primarily as a result of Russia’s disconnection from SWIFT, will not take such drastic measures of influence on the Russian Federation.
“SP”: – Moscow will respond in case of implementation of threats to disconnect Russia from SWIFT, said Andrei Krutskikh, director of the Department of International Information Security of the Russian Foreign Ministry. And what is the answer? According to him, our armored train is on a siding. What is this super-armored train?
– Krutskikh reacts in the format of a typical Russian politician-sensible – talk a lot and loudly, and then do nothing. And what does the armored train have to do with the military response? Note: this is said by the official in charge of information security.
I think that it is not necessary to deal with indiscriminate threats towards the West, but serious decisions should be made in relation to the most rabid parasitic countries. For example, in the list of “unfriendly countries” announced by the President of the Russian Federation, Poland is in second place. But what has Russia done in relation to Poland, which has entered the Russophobic rage? Are you going to send your armored train there?
It has already been said a hundred thousand times that Russia should not be in PACE, but no: it is more profitable for Russian officials to still ride to Brussels at public expense, while in the Russian press they pose as superpatriots who are about to “loudly answer the West.”
“SP”: – And what is the real threat to Russia being cut off? Well, the DPRK and Iran were turned off, no one died, like … Who will lose more from this?
– In the current situation, disconnecting from SWIFT would be a blessing for Russia, since it would become a real reason for a turn towards gaining its financial and economic sovereignty. However, the Russian government will most likely do everything in order to once again bend in front of the EU, so as not to lose their Eurovisas, real estate abroad and offshore companies.
European officials are well aware of this, and therefore they use the threat of disconnecting Russia from SWIFT not at all in order to actually disconnect it from this system, but to blackmail the Russian Federation on many other selfish issues.
“SP”: – How lethal for relations with the EU will be the halt in the construction of the SP-2? Will this be the last thread that somehow unites us?
– Pipelines do not connect Russia with Europe. They partly unite only the Russian and European bureaucracy and big business, which profit from the supply of raw materials from Russia to the EU countries. If we talk about states, the pipelines make the Russian Federation extremely dependent on Europe, when every small parasite country like Lithuania or Poland, or even “brothers” countries like transit countries like Ukraine and Belarus can blackmail Russia by blocking its transport projects.
“SP”: – According to Josep Borrell, the policy towards Moscow is determined by the participating countries, they must maintain unity and act in accordance with what was said in Brussels. Will they keep it? One gets the impression that more and more countries in the EU are ready to break with Russia … But, according to Krutskikh, now the world is beginning to dominate the desire for negotiations and finding compromise solutions. Wishful thinking? The exact opposite seems to be happening.
– The word “politician” has long been synonymous with the word “liar”. Borrell He lies when he speaks of the need to preserve unity in a situation where large European countries have become hostages of the parasitic countries they finance and cannot get rid of this dependence. And Krutskikh tells the Russian public fairy tales about some kind of worldwide “craving for negotiations.” Who has a craving for negotiations? For those who carried out a coup in the United States, is increasing the arms race, promoting anti-Russian sanctions, imposing a pandemic on the world, and now intending to drive the whole world into an electronic concentration camp?
– The resolutions of the European Parliament that are not binding on execution should be taken calmly, although they should be taken into account when analyzing the moods of European politicians, – I am convinced Evgeny Valyaev, political analyst of the Foundation for the Development of Civil Society Institutions “People’s Diplomacy”… – The resolution was supported by the centrist European People’s Party, which unites the leading political forces of many EU countries, including those with whom Russia maintains working relations. This faction, which has a majority in the European Parliament, includes, for example, the party Angela Merkel CDU and the Austrian People’s Party Sebastian Kurtz…
The European Parliament resolution itself is dedicated to Alexey Navalny, “Aggression” against Ukraine and a fresh Czech case. The big problem is that Moscow, just as it didn’t work with the political space of Europe before, doesn’t do it today. Official diplomacy is ineffective here, and the Kremlin’s periodic flirting with Eurosceptics is clearly not enough. Systematic work should be carried out, but so far Russian unofficial diplomacy is being carried out, apparently Petrov and Boshirov… With such parliamentarians, Moscow’s relations with Europe will inevitably come to a standstill.
The problem is that we do not have enough bright political figures inside the country, therefore, the work on international inter-parliamentary relations is sagging. Who in the Russian State Duma heads the international affairs committee? MP Leonid Slutsky, who even in Russia is not a popular politician. It would be useful for our parties to be included in the European political space, so that they try to work with factions of the European Parliament so that such categorical anti-Russian resolutions do not appear.
“SP”: – How realistic is the realization of all these threats?
– The freeze of Nord Stream 2, the disconnection of Russia from SWIFT, sanctions against the Russian national debt – these are steps that can be implemented if the current confrontational course in relations between Russia and Western countries continues. These are heavy sanctions that will definitely affect Russia – at the level of the ruble and on our economic opportunities. If European politicians focus their attack on Russia on personal sanctions against Russian oligarchs, they may even find support in Russia. The resolution also contains such sanctions, but they are not the main ones.
Germany is responsible for Nord Stream in Europe, so its position is central on this issue. It is very important who will replace Angela Merkel as chairman of the CDU and Chancellor of Germany. If a politician with anti-Russian sentiments becomes the leader of Germany, then Moscow’s projects may cease to receive the attention of Berlin. So far, there is restrained optimism in this direction, since the leader of the CDU has become Armin Laschet, who is the successor to the political course of Merkel, including on Russian-German relations: Laschet supports Nord Stream 2.
The situation with SWIFT, as in the case of Nord Stream, looks confusing. The first rumors about Russia’s disconnection from the system appeared after 2014, but then no one believed that Western leaders would take such a radical step. Western countries should understand that disconnecting Russia from the international interbank system for transmitting information about payments will push Moscow to develop its own and joint projects with China. In this case, the West will not only lose another platform within which it interacts with Russia, but will also deprive SWIFT of the status of the main international operator, pushing the world towards the development of regional systems for the transmission of financial messages.
Moscow has already created an SPFS, which will replace SWIFT within Russia, but Russian enterprises will have problems with mutual settlements in foreign markets. To resolve this issue, the Russian side will need to connect to the Chinese CIPS system, which, like the Russian system, is rather a spare and is not yet able to fully and painlessly replace SWIFT. Russian banks are already connecting to the Chinese CIPS, so as not to be left overwhelmed when disconnecting from SWIFT. While the words Lavrova and Peskova, which disparagingly declare the future of SWIFT and Russia, are more of a bluff – for Russia, disconnecting from SWIFT will be a big blow, this should be avoided.