For comparison: every week about 10,700 people die from cardiovascular diseases in the United States, about 4,000 people die from lung and tracheal cancer, more than 3,700 patients die from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and over 3,600 patients die from strokes. At the same time, 10,700 Americans have died from COVID-19 in the past week.
According to the Johns Hopkins University tracker, as of December 8, the number of deaths from coronavirus reached 286,319. IHME experts predict an increase in the number of deaths above half a million by April 2021, even if the vaccination is scaled up.
“Vaccinations are likely to accelerate the transition to normal by the end of 2021 and prevent 9,000 deaths by April 1. Another 1,400 lives could be saved by accelerating the vaccination of high-risk groups according to the reference scenario, ”says the IHME report. Experts also stressed the importance of using masks – if they are worn by 95% of the population, it will save 66,000 people by April. But so far, all states are expected to see a surge in hospitalization rates that will cause “extreme stress” for health officials, IHME said.
In June, Harvard Global Health Institute doctor Ashish Jha predicted that by September the death toll from COVID-19 in America would increase by 100,000. At that time, the death toll was 112,908.
“Most Americans are not ready to live in a lockdown, and I can understand them. But this means that 800 to 1000 people will die every day, ”the scientist said.
Today, the United States ranks first in the world in the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 – more than 15.1 million people. The top three are India (over 9.7 million) and Brazil (6.6 million). Russia ranks fourth in the world in terms of this indicator – about 2.3 million cases detected.