As of today, the bottom line from the latest events in Kazakhstan, which began on January 2, is obvious.
This resource-rich country with an educated population was attempted to be plunged into chaos by destructive forces with a pronounced radical connotation. Of course, Alma-Ata is not the city where you can raise the slogans of the “Islamic State” banned in Russia * above the crowd. However, the severed heads of the Kazakh security officials unmistakably indicate whose hands it was. The same thing happened in Syria, Iraq, but there the criminals did not hide, and in Kazakhstan they hide the ends.
From this it is necessary to conclude: mass dissatisfaction with the situation in the country has reached the limit. Sparks thrown into this discontent ignited the situation. At the head of the outrageous crowds were the leaders who were hiding from fame. The mutiny did not bring its leader to the surface. In all likelihood, we witnessed a coup attempt that had no guarantees of success. The unrest subsides, and their organizers and instigators are leaving large settlements. Where do they retreat?
According to a number of Kazakh political scientists, the foothills of the Tien Shan are the most likely area for the rebels to retreat. It is not so far from Alma-Ata, there, apparently, there is a network of control points and camps. Did the KNB of Kazakhstan know about this before? Of course he did. But whether he had an intention to fight them from his leadership, they will figure it out in the near future.
The experience of fighting international terrorism shows that not a single mass demonstration is prepared by radicals so secretly that the special services were not aware of it. This means that someone in the power structures of the Republic of Kazakhstan needed it. In order not to continue this subversive work, an audit of the Kazakh KNB and the development of a new policy in relation to radicalism are required. None of the civilian experts today can claim that the rioters’ connections extend, say, to the Gulf states, Afghanistan, Turkey or Western intelligence centers, but the Kazakh special services undoubtedly have such materials, and perhaps the world will still learn about them. These are materials about the activities of the “black international”, which includes Western intelligence services, radical Muslim organizations, professional terrorist cells, and corrupt officials from different countries.
Why exactly Kazakhstan became the object of penetration of these forces, after all, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan are nearby?
Probably because Kazakhstan resembles some regions of Russia in which a secular regime is combined with Islam. To gain experience in the radicalization of the population in Kazakhstan, and then extend it to the regions of the Volga region, the South Urals, Crimea – this is the logic of the spread of such metastases. In addition, Kazakh adherents of terrorism will become candidates for being sent to large Muslim diasporas in Russian megacities.
Today, assumptions about the participation of Western intelligence services in the events resemble fortune-telling on coffee grounds. Although one must a priori proceed from the fact that they have an interest in these events. A little time will pass, and he will be naked without any fortune-telling.
Those who fled from persecution in the course of restoring order in Kazakhstan will begin training in camps, as was the case with Chechen fighters who took refuge in the Caucasus mountains in winter. And when the warm season comes, new shots and explosions will thunder in Kazakhstan, and captured terrorists and their confessions will appear. Specialists in these testimonies will be especially interested in information about the routes of Islamists to Kazakhstan through the neighboring republics, their foreign emissary centers and sources of funding. Hopefully, this information will give the CSTO states a reason to direct the collective efforts of their special services to eliminate the terrorist underground in Kazakhstan. And the development of the main directions of joint foreign policy in the new conditions will become an urgent need.
Photo: REUTERS / Pavel Mikheyev
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