Estonia is preparing to organize armed partisan resistance in the event of a possible occupation of the country.
“We are talking about organized partisan or underground activities with the involvement of the local population, if some part of Estonia is occupied. The Ministry of Defense is preparing a bill that will give the Defense Forces the authority to prepare armed resistance in the occupied territories by creating intelligence networks and supporting infrastructure for this, such as safe houses and caches for storing equipment, ”the message on the state broadcasting portal ERR reads.
As the Vice Chancellor of the Ministry of Defense told the portal Margaret Grossadditional powers are also needed to train conspirators who will work in the occupied territory.
“The current legislation does not give such powers to the Defense Forces,” she said.
It is already known that the country’s defense department plans to submit the bill for approval to the government in September and expects it to be adopted by parliament this year.
What does it mean? Are they seriously preparing for a guerrilla war or is this another demonstrative act of Russophobia and an attempt to divert the attention of the internal audience from the problems in the country to an external threat?
“They’ve been reporting something like this for 30 years,” notes Associate Professor of the Faculty of International Relations, Political Science and Foreign Regional Studies of the Russian State University for the Humanities Vadim Trukhachev.
— And now it is also a convenient way to divert attention from the highest inflation in the EU. Unfortunately, ordinary Estonians are very susceptible to such a distraction, and they really believe in the fairy tale about the coming Russian invasion.
“SP”: – What does it mean “if some part of Estonia is occupied.” Even hypothetically, who needs a “part of Estonia”? Does anyone have territorial claims against her?
– Actually, it is Estonia that makes claims to part of the Leningrad and Pskov regions. Russia is ready to recognize the current border. Although, in theory, there would be every reason to lay claims on the almost completely Russian-speaking Narva and its environs.
“SP”: – That is, one must understand that Estonia does not count on NATO assistance?
Why? Calculates. You just need to “hold out” for a day or two and make your contribution to the “defense”.
“SP”: – Do many people really believe in this nonsense?
Yes, most ethnic Estonians believe this. Or at least allows it in theory. There is no need to flatter yourself with the illusion that the Estonian elite is cut off from the people.
“SP”: – If you hypothetically imagine a special operation in Estonia, how many people there will go to the partisans?
– Hardly. That’s why they rely on NATO.
“SP”: – Do you think neighboring countries will follow the example of Estonia? In which?
– In Latvia, Lithuania and Poland – for sure. It is likely that Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Romania will also have such appeals.
“Given the level of state paranoia, it is quite possible that this is serious,” he said. Advisor to the President of the Russian Association for Baltic Studies Vsevolod Shimov.
“Moreover, in Estonia, Russians live compactly in the regions bordering Russia, and, obviously, the Estonian authorities perceive this as a factor of potential danger. Speaking about the possibility of occupying part of its territory, in Tallinn, obviously, this part of the country is primarily meant.
“SP”: – The constant attempts to see the “Russian threat” everywhere is nothing new for Estonia. But what do you think was the immediate cause of these actions? Or don’t know what to think?
— Anti-Russian paranoia has gone off scale in Estonia and the entire Baltic since the start of the special military operation in Ukraine. Considering that the myth of the Soviet occupation is sewn into the very state identity of the Baltic countries, it is quite natural to whip up fears about a possible “occupation” by Russia. Moreover, after the collapse of the USSR, the Baltic countries themselves and voluntarily assumed the role of an anti-Russian cordon sanitaire, obviously counting on some geopolitical dividends from this role.
“SP”: – Are many people ready to partisan?
Any partisan movement is directed and organized from above in one way or another. An Estonian inhabitant by himself is unlikely to be a partisan against the “occupiers”. But specially trained militants may well become the core of partisan and sabotage detachments, where nationalistically motivated youth can also pull up. Again, in this case, Estonia is adopting the experience of Ukraine, where such work has been carried out for a long time.
“SP”: – Estonia does not hope for NATO assistance? Or they are intimidating NATO in this way: they say you give us few weapons, we will have to partisan …
– Of course, there is an element of NATO intimidation here. Moreover, Estonia is well aware that Russia will not fight with the NATO countries and open the Baltic front. In general, this is most likely really a way to knock out additional funding and increase one’s own significance within the West.
“SP”: – Last week there was information that NATO is preparing saboteurs in Estonia to attack Russian territory, which has now been turned into a hub where terrorists are trained for an asymmetric war inside Russia. How serious is this? Estonia decided not to wait for Russian aggression and go on the attack first?
– If this is so, then we can say that the so-called eastern flank of NATO is turning into the vanguard of a hybrid war against Russia. However, in this case, Estonia and other Baltic countries are really playing with fire. Indeed, at one fine moment, a hybrid war can develop into a very real one if sabotage takes place on the territory of the Russian Federation, the roots of which lead to the Baltic states.