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May 7, 2021
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At risk New York, Mexico City … Roscosmos showed where the debris of a Chinese rocket could fall

The head of Roscosmos Dmitry Rogozin showed a map on which the territories found themselves in the risk zone due to the possible fall of the fragments of the Chinese Long March 5B rocket (aka “Changzheng-5”) were marked. New York, Mexico City and a number of other megacities are at risk.

According to the Roscosmos map, the territories located north of the 40s latitudes in the northern hemisphere (and, accordingly, south of the 40s latitudes in the southern hemisphere) are not in danger. This is good news for Russia, which is almost entirely north of these latitudes, Rogozin said.

At the same time, such megacities as New York, Mexico City, Rio de Janeiro, Delhi and Tokyo fall into a potentially dangerous zone.

The problem of the fall of the remnants of the second stage of “Changzheng-5” is that it will be possible to accurately predict this place just a few hours before entering the dense layers of the atmosphere.

The weight of the debris now, while the stage is in orbit, is about 18 tons. Part of it will burn up when burned in the atmosphere, but something can fly to the ground, and it will be impossible to prevent this fall. Presumably, the debris will arrive on Earth on May 8.

Long March 5B launched the first, base module of the future Chinese space station “Heavenly Palace” into orbit.

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