From deconstruction of existing centers of power to a new world order
The rapid withdrawal of the American military from Afghanistan, the instant self-destruction of the pro-American regime, and a series of explosions at the Kabul airport appear to be links in the same chain – an operation to bring chaos into a space saturated with zones of high geopolitical tension. Recall: Afghanistan borders on China, India (Jammu and Kashmir), Pakistan, Iran, as well as three republics of the former Soviet Central Asia.
American media compared explosions at Kabul airport with death in Benghazi on September 11, 2012 under strange circumstances American Ambassador to Libya Chris Stevens. The death of the ambassador became the “justification” for the withdrawal of the Americans from Libya, despite the demands of the “hawks”. At the head of the “hawks” was then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
History repeated itself eight years later, when the architect of the US military strategy in Iraq, editor-in-chief of the portal Critical threats (military intelligence mouthpiece) Fred Kagan vehemently demanded “an extension of the Afghan mission.” After the explosions at the Kabul airport, the voices of those wishing to fight to the bitter end fell silent.
It is more difficult to understand why the withdrawal of the American military from Afghanistan was accompanied by such numerous casualties. It can be assumed that the “sacrifice effect” should have accelerated the shift of the center of gravity of American operations in this region from American troops to the “proxy”.
Pakistan is among the beneficiaries of the Taliban’s coming to power (the organization is banned in the Russian Federation). “The capture of Kabul by the Taliban can be seen as a success of the long-term strategy adopted by the Pakistani military elite,” writes Hindu… The goal of Islamabad, according to this newspaper, is to control the “strategic depth” (strategic depth) from the so-called Durand Line in Afghanistan to the “Islamic space” in the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir. According to this Indian newspaper, the Pakistani army and the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) have turned the Taliban into an effective military force. It is noteworthy that just a day after the Taliban entered Kabul, Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan said that he welcomed Afghans who were breaking the “shackles of slavery.”
Turkey and Qatar have won from the Taliban coming to power. Security at the Kabul airport will now be provided by a Turkish PMC. There will be no other foreign military on the territory of Afghanistan. The airport will be operated by the same Turkey and Qatar.
The famous American publicist, author of the books “Revenge of Geography” and “Monsoon” Robert D. Kaplan justifies the US withdrawal from Afghanistan by the fact that what is happening there is of little importance from a geopolitical point of view. Kaplan convinces that “Now the United States reliably controls the geopolitical arena, no matter what China and others try to say and do”…
However, Jeff Hudson, who once headed the Afghan branch YOU SAID, indicates the danger of the Taliban seizing Afghanistan, which is the historical center of the historical region of Greater Khorasan (it includes parts of the territories of Iran, Afghanistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan). For a number of years now, the militants of the “Vilayet Khorasan” banned in Russia have been creating a center of the “global Islamic caliphate” there.
Hudson writes that with the return of the Taliban to power in Afghanistan, a more dangerous phase of the regional conflict begins, since the Taliban “After 20 years of hostilities, they have become angrier, tougher, fanatical and more experienced than a generation ago …”… He predicts the expansion of jihad into six of Afghanistan’s neighbors (historic Greater Khorasan) “From Iran to Kyrgyzstan”…
Major General Gershon Hakoen, Senior Fellow at the Israeli Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies at Bar Ilan University, emphasizes that “Victory for the Taliban is a victory for faith”What can inspire Islamists around the world: “These events are pouring new blood into the arteries of jihad, and the results are visible everywhere.”…
Israeli military analyst Martin van Creveld believes that with the rise of fanatical religious movements, direct military action against such militants is ineffective. In his article titled Killing insurgents sets in motion the Darwinian mechanism and makes them more effective (Killing militants triggers Darwin’s ratchet and makes them more effective) He draws an analogy between Islamic jihad and evolution in nature.
The Darwin ratchet (a cog wheel that turns only in one direction), as interpreted by van Creveld, triggers the mechanism of uncontrolled reproduction of militants; in place of the dead fanatics, thousands of new ones come.
Note that the Armenian military analyst Hrachya Arzumanyan considers all these processes as two parts of a single “Great strategy of the West” – jihad and “pandemic”: “Jihadists and jihad of the 21st century are an irregular tool for the global design of centers of power. Moreover, the instrument is not surgical, but of “mass destruction”, more effective than nuclear weapons. The goal is to deconstruct a number of existing centers of power and create a new world order. In this sense, jihad complements Covid, another irregular instrument of mass destruction in the 21st century. “…
Cover photo: REUTERS
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